0xe171aa752d97C588CE78b56C68828DBeDe66A2A8-1771846930020
0xe171aa752d97c588ce78b56c68828dbede66a2a8
- Realised P&L
- $-0.99
- Volume
- $28.3k
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $17.99
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration56.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample16 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? · Yes | 0.998 | 1.000 | $17.99 | +$0.02 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.28at 0.973Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on March 24?
- +$0.11at 0.989Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on June 12?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,400 on March 2?
- +$0.03at 0.998Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on June 5?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-30 03:12 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on October 2? | BUY | 0.9983333333 | $17.97 |
| 07-02 02:56 | Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.56 |
| 06-24 08:30 | Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.16 |
| 05-19 09:52 | Will the San Francisco Giants win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.006 | $11.88 |
| 05-13 07:54 | Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.40 |
| 04-25 07:05 | Will the Las Vegas Raiders win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $9.90 |
| 04-24 07:35 | Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-23 03:00 | Will the Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.20 |
| 04-22 03:00 | Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.08 |
| 04-21 03:09 | Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.007 | $9.87 |
| 03-26 05:19 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.981 | $613.13 |
| 03-25 03:05 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.982 | $10.44 |