PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

jumpthechasm

0xe1699105ba93cb737bf60a2e88117a4ac9e3d7af

Realised P&L
$-133.34
Volume
$14.6k
Markets traded
13
Open portfolio
$48.85

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded13
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration54.9% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample8 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Stripe IPO before 2027? · Yes0.1400.047$19.74$39.06
OpenAI IPO before 2027? · Yes0.3800.045$17.55$130.65
Databricks IPO before 2027? · Yes0.4200.049$11.56$87.51
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00$274.91
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$228.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-24 16:42Anthropic IPO before 2027?SELL0.8766072723$411.29
04-05 21:23Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?SELL0.6489547976$150.89
03-25 16:44Anthropic IPO before 2027?BUY0.27$7.09
03-24 04:39Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.08$48.00
03-15 23:14Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.3$180.00
03-08 05:18GTA 6 launch postponed again?SELL0.3078742362$307.86
03-03 05:17Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.05$50.00
02-22 01:04Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?BUY0.304$7.29
02-17 02:31Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?BUY0.07$1.58
02-17 02:23GTA 6 launch postponed again?BUY0.28$14.96
02-05 15:53SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?SELL0.84$336.00
01-23 23:33Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?SELL0.74$63.43
01-23 23:32Trump-Denmark Greenland deal signed by March 31?SELL0.7$23.33
01-23 01:11SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?BUY0.75$22.50
01-23 00:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?SELL0.987$180.67