JacobGonzales936
0xe1602e5edd0f7f9bee7aa18636f85f935e77fb2a
- Realised P&L
- $2.32
- Volume
- $11.3k
- Markets traded
- 423
- Open portfolio
- $107.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded423
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.9% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $34.32 | +$0.02 |
| Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.41 | +$0.01 |
| Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $23.01 | +$0.01 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23? · No | 0.999 | 1.000 | $11.31 | +$0.01 |
| Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $10.75 | +$0.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? · No | 0.998 | 0.998 | $5.10 | −$0.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.11at 0.997Will the New York Rangers win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on September 3?
- +$0.09at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11?
- +$0.08at 0.999Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
- +$0.07at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-23 04:16 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 14°C on September 23? | BUY | 0.998 | $5.10 |
| 09-23 01:21 | Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 68-69°F on September 23? | BUY | 0.9979999153 | $10.75 |
| 09-22 20:45 | Will Nneka Ogwumike have the highest rebounds per game in the WNBA 2026 regular season? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.00 |
| 09-22 19:13 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $34.30 |
| 09-22 12:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on September 23? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.30 |
| 09-21 20:19 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 22? | BUY | 0.9989999754 | $23.40 |
| 09-19 00:57 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on September 19? | BUY | 0.998 | $24.40 |
| 09-18 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.999 | $23.50 |
| 09-13 04:04 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C or below on September 13? | BUY | 0.999 | $18.20 |
| 09-11 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11? | SELL | 0.999 | $32.60 |
| 09-11 02:21 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 35°C or higher on September 11? | BUY | 0.997 | $30.00 |
| 09-10 19:07 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C or below on September 11? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.60 |
| 09-07 15:19 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 24°C or below on September 8? | BUY | 0.9989999907 | $9.90 |
| 09-06 15:24 | Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 7°C on September 7? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.60 |
| 09-06 07:05 | Will the highest temperature in Busan be 31°C on September 6? | BUY | 0.9989999583 | $21.10 |