PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

OIYU

0xe15f70a3e78bfd8de4506f449fd8ca52e04293d7

Realised P&L
$1.7k
Volume
$96.1k
Markets traded
547
Open portfolio
$174.93

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded547
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration53.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration67.5% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0790.087$118.12+$12.13
Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1700.030$29.61−$135.41
UFC 332: Marvin Vettori vs. Ismail Naurdiev (Middleweight, Early Prelims) · Ismail Naurdiev0.5200.555$11.10+$0.70
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? · Yes0.2500.065$9.10−$25.90
UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card) · Roman Kopylov0.3900.350$7.00−$0.80
Jaylon Tyson: Points O/U 12.5 · No0.6300.000$0.00−$44.10
Cameron Johnson: Rebounds O/U 3.5 · No0.6400.000$0.00−$35.84
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 44-45°F on April 17? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00−$0.54
Kawhi Leonard: Points O/U 27.5 · No0.6100.000$0.00−$6.29
Will Bad Bunny say "Fuck ICE" at the Big Game? · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$11.00
Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 5.5 · No0.5000.000$0.00−$17.52
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card) · Melquizael Costa0.3700.000$0.00−$11.38
Scottie Barnes: Rebounds O/U 8.5 · Yes0.1100.000$0.00−$2.86
Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? · Yes0.1600.000$0.00−$10.00
Will Czech Republic win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.0100.000$0.00−$25.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-27 12:55UFC 332: Roman Kopylov vs. Ateba Gautier (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.39$7.80
07-20 17:09Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.17$165.02
05-17 03:55UFC Fight Night: Jake Matthews vs. Muslim Salikhov (Welterweight, Prelims)BUY0.51$51.00
05-10 01:17UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.37$11.38
05-10 01:16UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.51$7.40
05-10 01:16UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)BUY0.5$3.00
05-08 14:41UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)BUY0.19$20.90
04-16 20:10Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 17?BUY0.11$2.51
04-16 20:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 40-41°F on April 17?SELL0.0027667828$1.10
04-16 20:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 42-43°F on April 17?SELL0.013$1.41
04-16 20:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 38-39°F on April 17?SELL0.0027183451$1.05
04-16 20:09Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 36-37°F on April 17?SELL0.0052054684$2.20
04-16 20:03Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?SELL0.1944389636$76.47
04-16 19:56Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?BUY0.26$5.42
04-16 19:56Will the highest temperature in Denver be 54°F or higher on April 17?BUY0.25$5.78