PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

trancephorm

0xe155015fab94cc022f9a18f17ea7f4fbf1b7fdd4

Realised P&L
$-4.83
Volume
$352.42
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$21.60

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration39.2% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration43.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-28 12:51Will Rayssa Furlan win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?BUY0.16$3.00
09-28 05:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 70-71°F on September 28?BUY0.1881188074$5.00
09-19 06:46Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.34$7.66
09-16 19:37Will Linke win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.32$7.21
09-16 19:34Next Grok Model (4.7+) released by September 18, 2026?BUY0.7699999824$7.00
09-09 20:32Will Sweden Democrats (SD) win at least 20% of all valid votes?BUY0.3299999815$5.00
09-09 08:31Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,000?BUY0.25$11.30
09-08 05:41Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-09-10?BUY0.2899999884$5.00
09-04 21:50Russia Elections: United Russia Wins Every Region?BUY0.64$6.39
09-04 13:24Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?BUY0.6299999764$4.00
09-04 12:22Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections?BUY0.7799999307$9.00
09-04 07:33Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.5899999705$5.00
09-03 22:35Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by September 15, 2026?BUY0.4499999841$9.92
09-03 22:33Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released between August 31 and September 6, 2026?BUY0.4739999725$8.00