PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

asdwq3

0xe15413c6663a10f580b588169e75c7f138dfada8

Realised P&L
$-949.84
Volume
$132.8k
Markets traded
22
Open portfolio
$182.35

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded22
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration76.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample19 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)68.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0650.048$182.35$67.18
Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on January 23? · Down0.3600.000$0.00$1.1k
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on January 21? · Yes0.5800.000$0.00$169.43
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 7? · Yes0.6900.000$0.00$1.4k
Pelicans vs. Wizards · Wizards0.4600.000$0.00$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-09 03:19Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?SELL0.957$562.72
07-02 02:03Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?BUY0.959$563.89
06-15 01:51Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by June 30, 2026?BUY0.962$486.77
06-06 07:29Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?SELL0.82$453.46
05-30 06:27Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by September 30?BUY0.8$442.40
05-14 01:47Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.782$430.10
05-11 02:37Will Grüne win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?BUY0.755$415.25
05-04 01:12Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.124$28.89
05-04 01:10Will Denmark win Eurovision 2026?SELL0.124$43.65
04-13 01:38Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999813$6.76
04-13 01:38Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999863$9.22
04-13 01:38Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6149999879$10.45
04-12 01:52Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?BUY0.6$6.00
03-21 07:05Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.74$24.42
03-21 07:00Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.74$387.02