crushcrushcrush
0xe151400c9a564709ab57850a8779cc9f01abcfd9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.52
- Volume
- $3.2k
- Markets traded
- 35
- Open portfolio
- $267.54
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded35
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration41.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration22.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · No | 0.969 | 0.977 | $59.17 | +$0.48 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.978 | $55.72 | +$0.03 |
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.940 | $54.49 | −$1.42 |
| Trump, Putin, and Zelensky seen together before 2027? · No | 0.940 | 0.930 | $53.94 | −$0.58 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.804 | $44.22 | −$9.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.60at 0.939SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
- +$0.82at 0.984Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.989Iran leadership change by May 31?
- +$0.57at 0.890Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.992Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:35 | Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9866071477 | $21.70 |