crushcrushcrush
0xe151400c9a564709ab57850a8779cc9f01abcfd9
- Realised P&L
- $6.28
- Volume
- $2.7k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $286.42
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration19.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will NATO countries clash with each other before 2027? · No | 0.964 | 0.961 | $55.71 | −$0.20 |
| Will MrBeast announce a Presidential run before 2027? · No | 0.977 | 0.972 | $55.38 | −$0.31 |
| Will Denver Nuggets win the 2027 NBA Finals? · No | 0.966 | 0.966 | $55.03 | −$0.03 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · No | 0.966 | 0.965 | $54.98 | −$0.09 |
| Romanian PM Bolojan out by December 31? · Yes | 0.978 | 0.953 | $52.39 | −$1.40 |
| Will Detroit Tigers win the 2026 American League Championship Series? · No | 0.970 | 0.966 | $12.94 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.60at 0.939SCOTUS strikes down Trump's Birthright Citizenship EO?
- +$0.82at 0.984Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
- +$0.58at 0.989Iran leadership change by May 31?
- +$0.57at 0.890Cilia Flores released from custody by December 31, 2026?
- +$0.39at 0.992Hantavirus outbreak by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 07:35 | Will Iran strike Pakistan by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9866071477 | $21.70 |