0xE14FE02CF9891053AAE243318351Ba651C7dd959-1769447906448
0xe14fe02cf9891053aae243318351ba651c7dd959
- Realised P&L
- $3.5k
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $798.75
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample14 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.9kat 0.307Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
- +$999.95at 0.610Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?
- +$969.12at 0.340Will Iran close its airspace by December 31?
- +$856.00at 0.490Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
- +$614.07at 0.240Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 23:27 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | SELL | 0.36 | $133.33 |
| 10-25 21:41 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0551225572 | $21.52 |
| 10-24 10:45 | Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.2699999995 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 22:58 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.3839867665 | $200.00 |
| 10-23 17:24 | Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1178165562 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 17:20 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.4409603131 | $100.00 |
| 10-23 16:14 | Iran full airspace closure by December 31? | BUY | 0.4126615028 | $600.00 |
| 08-17 13:39 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.0597555146 | $70.00 |
| 07-08 16:08 | Iran full airspace closure by July 15? | BUY | 0.1497361295 | $70.00 |
| 07-08 16:07 | Iran full airspace closure by August 31? | BUY | 0.3293413158 | $100.00 |
| 07-08 16:07 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2355828213 | $200.00 |
| 06-21 22:38 | Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31? | BUY | 0.0449999965 | $12.00 |
| 06-21 22:37 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $211.00 |
| 06-21 22:35 | Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June? | SELL | 0.2504797067 | $96.34 |
| 06-19 21:28 | Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21? | BUY | 0.3399999983 | $70.00 |