PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE14FE02CF9891053AAE243318351Ba651C7dd959-1769447906448

0xe14fe02cf9891053aae243318351ba651c7dd959

Realised P&L
$3.5k
Volume
$88.7k
Markets traded
50
Open portfolio
$798.75

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded50
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample14 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.4%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.2% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · Yes0.4090.360$792.58−$107.42
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Down0.8101.000$6.17+$1.17
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? · Yes0.0420.000$0.00−$10.00
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026? · Yes0.0160.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 30? · Yes0.0580.000$0.00−$15.00
Will the price of Solana be between $90 and $100 on February 3? · Yes0.2840.000$0.00−$10.00
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$50.00
Will the price of Solana be less than $80 on February 3? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00−$30.00
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.1300.000$0.00−$99.00
Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.1180.000$0.00−$54.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 30? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$12.00
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? · Yes0.0410.000$0.00−$4.00
Will Iran close its airspace by June 11? · Yes0.3630.000$0.00−$700.00
Will the price of XRP be above $1.90 on February 6? · Yes0.0660.000$0.00−$30.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$5.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
11-01 23:27Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?SELL0.36$133.33
10-25 21:41Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?SELL0.0551225572$21.52
10-24 10:45Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?BUY0.2699999995$100.00
10-23 22:58Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.3839867665$200.00
10-23 17:24Iran full airspace closure by October 31, 2026?BUY0.1178165562$100.00
10-23 17:20Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4409603131$100.00
10-23 16:14Iran full airspace closure by December 31?BUY0.4126615028$600.00
08-17 13:39Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.0597555146$70.00
07-08 16:08Iran full airspace closure by July 15?BUY0.1497361295$70.00
07-08 16:07Iran full airspace closure by August 31?BUY0.3293413158$100.00
07-08 16:07Iran full airspace closure by July 31?BUY0.2355828213$200.00
06-21 22:38Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?BUY0.0449999965$12.00
06-21 22:37Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1299999995$211.00
06-21 22:35Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?SELL0.2504797067$96.34
06-19 21:28Will Bitcoin dip to $62,000 June 15-21?BUY0.3399999983$70.00