PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

heipp15

0xe14d11e327445b04509acf1f4829e7dde19e35a5

Realised P&L
$-67.77
Volume
$31.2k
Markets traded
160
Open portfolio
$33.20

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded160
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration92.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.9% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will António Guterres visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.895$17.90$0.70
Will Mark Carney visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9200.765$15.30$3.10
Will Trump say "Maduro" this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will Josh Hart attend the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · Yes0.0060.000$0.00$0.30
Will Elon post "President" on X this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will anyone say "Slamming Them Down" during 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$0.35
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00$0.15
XRP Up or Down - August 29, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00$0.10
Will Trump post "Ronaldo" on Truth Social this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will Elon post "Soccer" on X this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Solana Up or Down - August 29, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET · Down0.0010.000$0.00$0.05
Will Andy Burnham visit Ukraine by December 31, 2026? · No0.9300.000$0.00$18.60
Hyperliquid Up or Down - August 28, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET · Down0.0020.000$0.00$0.15
Will Elon post "Football" on X this week? · Yes0.0010.000$0.00$0.03
Will Zach Galifianakis attend the 2026 Nathan's Hot Dog Eating Contest? · Yes0.0080.000$0.00$0.40

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-03 07:56Dogecoin Up or Down - September 3, 12:00AM-4:00AM ETSELL0.95$28.55
09-03 03:25Dogecoin Up or Down - September 2, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSELL0.01$0.50
09-03 01:11Bitcoin Up or Down - September 2, 9:00PM-9:15PM ETSELL0.9920004001$49.59
08-30 23:44Bitcoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.998$49.90
08-30 23:29Dogecoin Up or Down - August 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.985$49.25
08-30 23:12Ethereum Up or Down - August 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSELL0.98$49.00
07-30 03:51Meta (META) Up or Down on July 30?SELL0.91$18.20
07-30 02:42Will Suzhou LNG Esports Make the LPL 2026 Split 3 Grand Final?SELL0.01$0.20
07-29 11:01WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $78 on July 29?SELL0.013$0.26
07-29 09:03Will there be at least 10000 cyclosporiasis cases in the U.S. by July 31, 2026?SELL0.026$0.26
07-29 08:58Will United Russia win the next Tver Oblast Parliament elections?SELL0.02$0.33
07-29 08:51Will United Russia win the next Moscow Oblast Parliament elections?SELL0.01$0.20
07-10 04:41Will the Los Angeles Dodgers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.939$18.78
07-10 04:40Will Trump say "Great Leader" this week?SELL0.0026$0.08
07-10 04:40Will the Texas Rangers have the highest ABS success rate during the 2026 MLB regular season?SELL0.97$19.40