chumbaa
0xe14ad57dddb2a4b965999710043468d81eafa3e4
- Realised P&L
- $38.95
- Volume
- $945.11
- Markets traded
- 83
- Open portfolio
- $31.73
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded83
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample45 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.45at 0.330Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?
- +$6.64at 0.397Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$6.64at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3?
- +$6.46at 0.450Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?
- +$6.18at 0.350Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 24°C on July 26?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-04 15:17 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.1299999212 | $1.27 |
| 08-04 12:41 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.5940594048 | $5.00 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2699999462 | $2.41 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5? | BUY | 0.2899999362 | $2.59 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.0699999363 | $1.00 |
| 08-04 12:20 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999491 | $4.27 |
| 08-03 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.1799999358 | $2.13 |
| 08-03 22:37 | Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.4099999688 | $4.86 |
| 08-03 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.16 | $1.67 |
| 08-03 22:20 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5? | BUY | 0.5099999723 | $5.33 |
| 08-03 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.0416458437 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 06:35 | Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.6052451266 | $6.67 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.09 |
| 08-02 21:53 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.2699999776 | $5.91 |
| 08-02 20:27 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.09 |