chumbaa
0xe14ad57dddb2a4b965999710043468d81eafa3e4
- Realised P&L
- $-8.87
- Volume
- $3.5k
- Markets traded
- 121
- Open portfolio
- $1.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded121
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$7.33at 0.341Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on August 1?
- +$7.24at 0.300Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 3?
- +$6.52at 0.408Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on July 31?
- +$6.49at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 3?
- +$6.31at 0.462Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-09 22:13 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 10-09 22:04 | Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0380952381 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.0599999988 | $1.00 |
| 09-14 21:22 | Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 16? | BUY | 0.1699999909 | $2.61 |
| 09-03 10:48 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.00 |
| 09-03 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.2899999478 | $3.00 |
| 09-03 10:46 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.14 | $1.40 |
| 09-03 10:44 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3? | SELL | 0.0645914397 | $0.66 |
| 09-03 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.1399999203 | $1.44 |
| 09-03 10:23 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3? | BUY | 0.229999947 | $2.56 |
| 08-18 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.0299999712 | $1.00 |
| 08-18 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.52 | $3.74 |
| 08-18 22:11 | Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 20? | BUY | 0.1099999032 | $1.00 |
| 08-17 17:38 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19? | BUY | 0.6299999811 | $5.00 |