PolyBot

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Traders

chumbaa

0xe14ad57dddb2a4b965999710043468d81eafa3e4

Realised P&L
$-8.87
Volume
$3.5k
Markets traded
121
Open portfolio
$1.19

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded121
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration5.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-09 22:13Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on October 10?BUY0.001$1.00
10-09 22:04Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 10?BUY0.001$1.00
09-14 21:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on September 16?BUY0.0380952381$1.00
09-14 21:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on September 16?BUY0.0599999988$1.00
09-14 21:22Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on September 16?BUY0.1699999909$2.61
09-03 10:48Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?BUY0.08$1.00
09-03 10:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on September 3?BUY0.2899999478$3.00
09-03 10:46Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on September 3?BUY0.14$1.40
09-03 10:44Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?SELL0.0645914397$0.66
09-03 10:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on September 3?BUY0.1399999203$1.44
09-03 10:23Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on September 3?BUY0.229999947$2.56
08-18 22:12Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 20?BUY0.0299999712$1.00
08-18 22:12Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 31°C on August 20?BUY0.52$3.74
08-18 22:11Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 20?BUY0.1099999032$1.00
08-17 17:38Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 19?BUY0.6299999811$5.00