PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Sign in

Traders

chumbaa

0xe14ad57dddb2a4b965999710043468d81eafa3e4

Realised P&L
$38.95
Volume
$945.11
Markets traded
83
Open portfolio
$31.73

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar4.1%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded83
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration6.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample45 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)71.1%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration33.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-04 15:17Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on August 4?BUY0.1299999212$1.27
08-04 12:41Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on August 4?BUY0.5940594048$5.00
08-04 12:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 5?BUY0.2699999462$2.41
08-04 12:20Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 78-79°F on August 5?BUY0.2899999362$2.59
08-04 12:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.0699999363$1.00
08-04 12:20Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.4099999491$4.27
08-03 22:37Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on August 5?BUY0.1799999358$2.13
08-03 22:37Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on August 5?BUY0.4099999688$4.86
08-03 22:20Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 33°C on August 5?BUY0.16$1.67
08-03 22:20Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 5?BUY0.5099999723$5.33
08-03 06:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 3?BUY0.0416458437$1.00
08-03 06:35Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.6052451266$6.67
08-02 21:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on August 3?BUY0.05$1.09
08-02 21:53Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on August 3?BUY0.2699999776$5.91
08-02 20:27Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on August 3?BUY0.1$1.09