sharovoi
0xe1475ceff3d13f249962d19e3e084756af832210
- Realised P&L
- $36.70
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 50
- Open portfolio
- $86.12
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.2%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded50
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample46 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? · Yes | 0.953 | 0.948 | $29.83 | −$0.17 |
| Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.961 | 0.960 | $25.96 | −$0.04 |
| Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.960 | 0.950 | $19.99 | −$0.21 |
| Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.910 | $10.34 | +$0.34 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.27at 0.805Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026?
- +$5.96at 0.900Over $10M committed to the Gensyn public sale?
- +$1.72at 0.972Lighter Airdrop on December 27?
- +$1.28at 0.940Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
- +$1.01at 0.970Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-18 16:35 | Will Phantom launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.20 |
| 10-18 16:17 | Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9609999959 | $26.00 |
| 10-18 16:16 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $15M? | BUY | 0.8799999965 | $10.00 |
| 10-18 16:15 | Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? | BUY | 0.9529999986 | $30.00 |
| 07-12 07:34 | Will Reya launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.793955095 | $45.97 |
| 07-12 07:11 | Will LI.FI launch a token by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.969 | $27.79 |
| 05-17 15:50 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.9649999996 | $22.00 |
| 05-17 15:49 | Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.96 | $20.00 |
| 04-01 20:26 | Extended FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9703195422 | $71.31 |
| 03-18 09:52 | Over $180M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.982 | $28.86 |
| 03-18 09:52 | Over $120M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale? | BUY | 0.9685157415 | $19.99 |
| 03-11 09:21 | Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999999 | $26.32 |
| 03-11 09:18 | Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026? | BUY | 0.9889999998 | $22.00 |
| 03-11 09:17 | Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.9399999991 | $20.00 |
| 03-11 09:17 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.986 | $35.94 |