0xe14556787fdf639fd415dff2b328920f3fc798d9
0xe14556787fdf639fd415dff2b328920f3fc798d9
- Realised P&L
- $-40.40
- Volume
- $61.3k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $7.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration13.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample43 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)51.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.69at 0.507Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15?
- +$3.52at 0.588Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw?
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
- +$1.91at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 08:49 | Will Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 10-21 16:00 | Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-10-21? | BUY | 0.439999956 | $4.00 |
| 10-15 18:38 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15? | SELL | 0.95 | $8.14 |
| 10-15 18:15 | Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-15? | BUY | 0.4899999755 | $4.20 |
| 10-15 16:36 | Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.53 |
| 10-14 06:08 | Will Sabah win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.05 |
| 10-08 10:06 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | BUY | 0.001 | $3.00 |
| 10-06 16:48 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 10-06 15:59 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | SELL | 0.999 | $8.76 |
| 10-06 15:47 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.04 |
| 10-06 15:41 | Will Kazakhstan vs. Faroe Islands end in a draw? | BUY | 0.5699999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-06 14:23 | Will Faroe Islands win on 2026-10-06? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $6.00 |
| 10-06 10:52 | Will Slavia Prague win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |
| 10-04 09:51 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | SELL | 0.001 | $0.50 |
| 10-02 06:31 | Will Shakhtar Donetsk win the 2026-27 UEFA Champions League Championship? | BUY | 0.002 | $1.00 |