PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

tolicien

0xe1446165e273806bac19be501862dbd8ef2efa7c

Realised P&L
$1.0k
Volume
$34.1k
Markets traded
80
Open portfolio
$2.8k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar3.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded80
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration29.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)46.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1320.265$2.0k+$1.0k
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1230.190$308.15+$108.15
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0770.095$245.24+$45.24
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0600.055$182.28$17.72
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0330.029$90.44$9.56
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? · Yes0.0870.028$9.48$20.52

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-25 21:29Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano DarderiBUY0.5387755995$100.00
07-21 22:02Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1316807574$1.0k
07-21 22:00Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0774762499$200.00
07-21 21:59Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0326194949$100.00
07-21 21:58Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1172850839$100.00
07-21 21:58Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.0603480008$200.00
07-19 21:33Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.64$300.00
07-19 21:28Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7099999997$500.00
07-19 17:52Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5899999997$496.58
07-19 17:52Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4274999999$600.00
07-14 18:55Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsBUY0.449999998$100.00
07-14 18:54Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.3649999987$100.00
07-13 09:42France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999997$700.00
07-12 03:15Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.2974999929$20.00
07-12 03:14Argentina vs. Switzerland: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?BUY0.4899999966$50.00