squirtl
0xe1403090cd935a23a10668242b964cb9afbd78d4
- Realised P&L
- $34.7k
- Volume
- $579.0k
- Markets traded
- 47
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded47
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample33 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$12.9kat 0.610Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
- +$9.1kat 0.597Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
- +$5.3kat 0.298Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?
- +$5.1kat 0.696Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
- +$4.8kat 0.736Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-13 17:44 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.994 | $9.9k |
| 04-05 14:35 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.987 | $2.7k |
| 02-07 01:44 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? | BUY | 0.6097127109 | $4.4k |
| 02-07 01:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1099999998 | $500.00 |
| 02-06 10:01 | Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4713298153 | $5.0k |
| 01-16 22:18 | GPT ads by March 31? | BUY | 0.0458490201 | $100.00 |
| 01-16 14:43 | Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.3713748196 | $1000.00 |
| 01-16 09:20 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.59 | $7.0k |
| 01-16 09:18 | Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? | BUY | 0.1358275905 | $1000.00 |
| 01-13 23:12 | Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | BUY | 0.6601477492 | $1000.00 |
| 01-11 20:46 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.368991302 | $1000.00 |
| 01-11 20:42 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | BUY | 0.5738905704 | $5.7k |
| 12-07 23:13 | Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest? | SELL | 0.999 | $7.6k |
| 11-19 14:42 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | SELL | 0.868279115 | $29.1k |
| 11-09 18:16 | U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? | SELL | 0.9502225813 | $8.0k |