PolyBot

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Traders

squirtl

0xe1403090cd935a23a10668242b964cb9afbd78d4

Realised P&L
$34.7k
Volume
$579.0k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$9.4k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar6.0%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration15.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample33 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.8%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration98.6% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.4710.875$9.3k+$4.3k
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.029$134.09$365.90
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? · No0.6600.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? · No0.1870.000$0.00$500.00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? · No0.5900.000$0.00$7.0k
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election? · Yes0.1360.000$0.00$1000.00
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by December 31? · No0.5610.000$0.00$3.4k
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.6100.000$0.00$4.4k
Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest? · Yes0.3170.000$0.00$825.80
Will Mairead McGuinness win the Irish Presidential Election? · Yes0.4930.000$0.00$5.0k
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election? · Yes0.7450.000$0.00$5.5k
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026? · Yes0.3710.000$0.00$1000.00
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before 2026? · No0.3130.000$0.00$4.4k

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-13 17:44Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?SELL0.994$9.9k
04-05 14:35Will Trump visit China by April 30?SELL0.987$2.7k
02-07 01:44Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?BUY0.6097127109$4.4k
02-07 01:40Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1099999998$500.00
02-06 10:01Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4713298153$5.0k
01-16 22:18GPT ads by March 31?BUY0.0458490201$100.00
01-16 14:43Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?BUY0.3713748196$1000.00
01-16 09:20Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?BUY0.59$7.0k
01-16 09:18Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?BUY0.1358275905$1000.00
01-13 23:12Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?BUY0.6601477492$1000.00
01-11 20:46Will Trump visit China by April 30?BUY0.368991302$1000.00
01-11 20:42Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?BUY0.5738905704$5.7k
12-07 23:13Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?SELL0.999$7.6k
11-19 14:42Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?SELL0.868279115$29.1k
11-09 18:16U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? SELL0.9502225813$8.0k