PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

Continue in Telegram — referral link

Traders

changchen1

0xe12828219a38928b7d2b51175136f9cb017ddea3

Realised P&L
$-1.4k
Volume
$8.9k
Markets traded
19
Open portfolio
$1.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-16.0%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded19
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration72.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration69.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5 · Under0.5500.575$914.80+$39.78
Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern Tigers · Beijing Ducks0.8090.825$247.80+$4.85
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Sichuan Blue Whales · Jilin Northeast Tigers0.7700.770$86.24+$0.00
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No0.0410.036$16.71−$2.32
Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava? · Yes0.1100.115$11.96+$0.52
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 4 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0310.029$10.71−$0.74
Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin0.3160.285$10.30−$1.12
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.1860.198$9.83+$0.57
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 0 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0120.011$2.10−$0.30
Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Barcelona? · Yes0.0220.020$1.48−$0.15
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 11.5 Total Corners · Over0.2820.000$0.00−$2.81
Parma Calcio 1913 vs. Torino FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.3100.000$0.00−$31.00
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 13.5 Total Corners · Over0.1350.000$0.00−$46.58
AC Monza vs. Cagliari Calcio: O/U 10.5 Total Corners · Over0.3700.000$0.00−$74.00
Parma Calcio 1913 leading at halftime? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00−$187.55

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-20 09:45Zhejiang Golden Bulls vs. Shandong Hi-Speed KirinBUY0.32$9.28
10-20 09:27Beijing Ducks vs. Guangdong Southern TigersBUY0.8088570457$242.95
10-20 07:00Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 0 FC Barcelona?BUY0.012$2.40
10-20 01:59Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.1859999971$9.26
10-20 01:47Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 4 - 3 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0219999997$1.63
10-20 01:38Exact Score: AS Roma 3 - 0 ŠK Slovan Bratislava?BUY0.11$11.44
10-19 22:12Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 4 FC Barcelona?BUY0.031$11.45
10-19 19:26Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5BUY0.55$202.95
10-19 19:26Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5BUY0.5499999975$77.87
10-19 19:26Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5BUY0.5499999949$10.68
10-19 19:26Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5BUY0.5499999997$583.53
10-19 18:38Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.0409999997$2.63
10-19 18:37Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.041$8.20
10-19 18:37Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?BUY0.041$8.20
10-19 18:25Getafe CF vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 12.5 Total CornersBUY0.2099999838$1.56
Trader changchen1 · PolyBot Pro