0xE125F722525bC75B744A9f735358103f55c7f1aC-1760714909817
0xe125f722525bc75b744a9f735358103f55c7f1ac
- Realised P&L
- $-1.3k
- Volume
- $55.6k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $183.03
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample28 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration52.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · No | 0.688 | 0.625 | $95.10 | −$9.60 |
| Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? · No | 0.523 | 0.605 | $87.93 | +$11.93 |
| Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? · No | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.30 |
| Will Jorge Nieto finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.93 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · Yes | 0.119 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$268.75 |
| Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? · No | 0.303 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$504.22 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$394.75at 0.409Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
- +$158.27at 0.845Will voter turnout be 77–80% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
- +$139.42at 0.727Will Venezuela give the US oil by January 31?
- +$112.95at 0.670Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
- +$93.40at 0.490Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be between 400m and 440m by January 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-26 18:12 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.56 | $22.40 |
| 10-26 18:11 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.69 | $13.80 |
| 10-23 08:01 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.5229491745 | $96.92 |
| 10-20 18:03 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.685 | $27.40 |
| 10-20 17:45 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.7 | $56.00 |
| 10-19 23:31 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $40.28 |
| 10-19 23:23 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.7 | $99.40 |
| 10-18 19:42 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.6722 | $100.83 |
| 10-18 09:39 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.71 | $36.81 |
| 10-18 09:37 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $23.10 |
| 10-15 12:28 | Will Bad Bunny rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.58 | $17.40 |
| 10-14 20:08 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 10-14 20:07 | Will Erling Haaland rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | SELL | 0.45 | $6.75 |
| 10-14 20:06 | Will Nicolás Maduro rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People in the US of 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $7.46 |
| 10-14 20:04 | Will Trump say "Chip" during his Midterm Rally in Arizona? | SELL | 0.77 | $7.70 |