0xe121ac42316e1dd7c23d59dad1a382ddc3013bfa
- Realised P&L
- $-741.14
- Volume
- $88.7k
- Markets traded
- 16
- Open portfolio
- $224.40
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded16
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.660 | 0.705 | $106.28 | +$6.78 |
| Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.238 | 0.135 | $56.75 | −$43.22 |
| Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.001 | $42.88 | −$654.55 |
| Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.237 | 0.088 | $18.48 | −$31.27 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.58at 0.639Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
- +$0.55at 0.650Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5
- +$0.43at 0.700Cavaliers vs. Knicks
- +$0.23at 0.815Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
- +$-1.02at 0.654Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-02 13:55 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 13:52 | Knicks vs. Spurs | BUY | 0.63 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 13:51 | Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.6439997836 | $1.00 |
| 05-27 10:27 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $4.00 |
| 05-19 17:09 | James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5 | BUY | 0.54 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 17:08 | Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET | BUY | 0.8 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET | BUY | 0.6199998512 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 16:41 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET | BUY | 0.1523809524 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 16:37 | Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5 | BUY | 0.5099998317 | $1.00 |
| 05-19 16:37 | Cavaliers vs. Knicks | BUY | 0.6899999586 | $1.00 |
| 05-15 08:18 | Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET | BUY | 0.02 | $9.95 |
| 05-12 07:42 | Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.008 | $40.53 |
| 05-12 07:00 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | SELL | 0.085 | $70.32 |
| 05-07 21:49 | Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | BUY | 0.088999999 | $73.63 |