PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xe121ac42316e1dd7c23d59dad1a382ddc3013bfa

Realised P&L
$-741.14
Volume
$88.7k
Markets traded
16
Open portfolio
$224.40

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded16
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
CautionProfit concentration32.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample12 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)33.3%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration47.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will David Lisnard be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.6600.705$106.28+$6.78
Will Juan Branco be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2380.135$56.75$43.22
Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.0080.001$42.88$654.55
Will Delphine Batho be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes0.2370.088$18.48$31.27

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-02 13:55Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.64$1.00
06-02 13:52Knicks vs. SpursBUY0.63$1.00
06-02 13:51Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY0.6439997836$1.00
05-27 10:27Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$4.00
05-19 17:09James Harden: Assists O/U 6.5BUY0.54$1.00
05-19 17:08Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 5.5BUY0.64$1.00
05-19 17:07Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETBUY0.8$1.00
05-19 16:49Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETBUY0.6199998512$1.00
05-19 16:41Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETBUY0.1523809524$1.00
05-19 16:37Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5BUY0.5099998317$1.00
05-19 16:37Cavaliers vs. KnicksBUY0.6899999586$1.00
05-15 08:18Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:15AM-4:20AM ETBUY0.02$9.95
05-12 07:42Will Juan Branco win the 2027 French presidential election?BUY0.008$40.53
05-12 07:00Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?SELL0.085$70.32
05-07 21:49Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?BUY0.088999999$73.63