peter988
0xe1120cd1fd43a749fc281750d5a4ffd34b150fde
- Realised P&L
- $-1.2k
- Volume
- $84.6k
- Markets traded
- 3,858
- Open portfolio
- $146.43
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded3,858
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration5.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)82.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.50at 0.517Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$70.93at 0.291Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 11?
- +$64.00at 0.360Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET
- +$61.37at 0.386Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
- +$60.45at 0.395Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-11 22:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on October 12? | BUY | 0.93 | $93.00 |
| 10-10 16:34 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $2.90 |
| 10-10 16:04 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET | BUY | 0.4929411765 | $8.38 |
| 10-10 15:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-10 15:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET | BUY | 0.5499999828 | $11.20 |
| 10-10 14:50 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.44 | $4.40 |
| 10-10 14:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $18.00 |
| 10-10 14:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET | BUY | 0.5 | $10.20 |
| 10-10 14:39 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET | BUY | 0.4799999687 | $4.90 |
| 10-10 14:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 10-10 14:30 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $3.50 |
| 10-10 09:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET | BUY | 0.5166878928 | $15.60 |
| 10-10 09:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET | BUY | 0.25 | $3.25 |
| 10-10 08:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET | BUY | 0.58 | $5.80 |
| 10-10 08:44 | Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET | BUY | 0.3899999907 | $8.00 |