PolyBot

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Traders

0xE10196460cE561C5f227eE9A3D81Ed51ba7506e7-1768849301911

0xe10196460ce561c5f227ee9a3d81ed51ba7506e7

Realised P&L
$-35.87
Volume
$20.5k
Markets traded
140
Open portfolio
$34.99

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded140
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)86.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration63.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0040.014$22.31+$15.32
Will Israel strike 8 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0120.025$4.12+$2.12
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0750.041$3.78$3.22
Will Israel strike 11 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0030.002$2.48$2.51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · Yes0.3400.065$1.91$8.09
Will Israel strike 7 countries in 2026? · Yes0.0490.018$0.38$0.62
Iran coup attempt by June 30? · Yes0.2530.000$0.00$40.00
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2350.000$0.00$30.00
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw? · Yes0.3000.000$0.00$10.00
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 22, 2026? · Yes0.4200.000$0.00$20.00
Exact Score: United States 1 - 0 Belgium? · Yes0.0800.000$0.00$25.00
Spread: France (-3.5) · France0.4340.000$0.00$20.00
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05? · Yes0.5500.000$0.00$60.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.1710.000$0.00$50.00
France vs. Spain: Team to Advance · France0.5090.000$0.00$89.26

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-14 19:23France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.389999992$29.26
07-14 11:26France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999922$30.00
07-14 11:25France to score first vs. Spain?BUY0.5299999883$20.00
07-14 11:24Will France win on 2026-07-14?BUY0.4074999969$30.00
07-14 09:11France vs. Spain: Team to AdvanceBUY0.5974999922$30.00
07-11 23:15Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7524999979$40.00
07-11 23:14Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsBUY0.5191347719$30.00
07-11 23:14Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.5699999983$75.00
07-11 22:19Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?BUY0.2349999949$30.00
07-11 21:53Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?BUY0.1299999902$10.00
07-11 21:00Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?BUY0.0852541788$15.00
07-11 20:59Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?BUY0.042999996$10.00
07-10 15:41Spain vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7474999974$50.00
07-10 15:41Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5SELL0.5525$20.37
07-10 15:41Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?BUY0.6099999985$100.00