0xe0FB3A5a894c37A0c1F2d969a6611055d2d7Fe06-1769837814240
0xe0fb3a5a894c37a0c1f2d969a6611055d2d7fe06
- Realised P&L
- $2.11
- Volume
- $240.03
- Markets traded
- 17
- Open portfolio
- $11.75
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded17
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration52.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample15 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? · No | 0.998 | 0.994 | $11.75 | −$0.05 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.10at 0.950Will "The Dinosaurs" be the top US Netflix show this week?
- +$0.68at 0.970Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10)
- +$0.10at 0.995Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21?
- +$0.04at 0.998Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1?
- +$0.03at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 21?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 02:34 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C or below on October 11? | BUY | 0.998 | $11.80 |
| 09-20 03:33 | Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 21? | BUY | 0.9969999999 | $11.80 |
| 08-24 05:45 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 30°C or below on August 25? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.20 |
| 08-09 01:50 | Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C or below on August 10? | BUY | 0.999 | $11.20 |
| 07-28 04:34 | Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.60 |
| 07-11 03:10 | Will Trump's approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on July 10, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $10.60 |
| 06-30 04:35 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C or below on July 1? | BUY | 0.998 | $22.30 |
| 06-22 05:24 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on June 23? | BUY | 0.9969999998 | $6.10 |
| 05-26 02:44 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 27? | BUY | 0.999 | $17.20 |
| 05-15 01:04 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 16? | BUY | 0.997 | $3.70 |
| 04-20 02:25 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 13°C on April 21? | BUY | 0.995 | $21.99 |
| 03-23 03:14 | Will "Unicorn Academy: Secrets Revealed" be the top US Netflix show this week? | BUY | 0.9969999994 | $1.80 |
| 02-28 06:39 | Will Trump’s approval rating be between 40.5 and 40.9 on February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.999 | $22.00 |
| 02-10 15:47 | Will "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 10) | BUY | 0.97 | $22.00 |
| 02-03 08:58 | Will "Bridgerton: Season 1" be the top US Netflix show this week? (February 3, 2026) | BUY | 0.999 | $16.50 |