0xe0faa5901d6d1d2e6faf447204a622d483204780
0xe0faa5901d6d1d2e6faf447204a622d483204780
- Realised P&L
- $-98.64
- Volume
- $12.8k
- Markets traded
- 547
- Open portfolio
- $3.89
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded547
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration76.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$96.88at 0.150Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$56.80at 0.042Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on September 1?
- +$53.40at 0.041Will the highest temperature in Milan be 30°C or higher on August 20?
- +$43.99at 0.057Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on August 19?
- +$29.25at 0.053Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 63°F or below on September 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-04 09:14 | Will the highest temperature in Munich be 21°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.3099999954 | $2.00 |
| 10-04 09:09 | Will the highest temperature in Milan be 23°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.0438287153 | $1.50 |
| 10-04 02:37 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 22°C on October 4? | BUY | 0.2 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 23:34 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $37.25 |
| 10-03 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.006 | $0.09 |
| 10-03 22:33 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.05 |
| 10-03 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.003 | $0.06 |
| 10-03 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.005 | $0.03 |
| 10-03 22:29 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? | SELL | 0.004 | $0.02 |
| 10-03 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.032 | $1.00 |
| 10-03 20:56 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0573913036 | $1.43 |
| 10-03 20:55 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.0626864221 | $2.00 |
| 10-03 20:06 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.129 | $1.29 |
| 10-03 18:57 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 102°F or higher on October 3? | BUY | 0.2959999893 | $6.00 |
| 10-03 18:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 100-101°F on October 3? | BUY | 0.7989999556 | $3.58 |