0xe0DF2096459b3ee64cE0a9cE284366C2c49572d8-1768169345137
0xe0df2096459b3ee64ce0a9ce284366c2c49572d8
- Realised P&L
- $146.08
- Volume
- $6.1k
- Markets traded
- 54
- Open portfolio
- $473.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded54
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample48 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)93.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration62.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Abiy Ahmed be the next Prime Minister of Ethiopia? · Yes | 0.979 | 0.968 | $296.57 | −$3.43 |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? · Yes | 0.880 | 0.910 | $174.95 | +$5.77 |
| Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? · No | 0.920 | 0.875 | $1.48 | −$0.08 |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.850 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$85.00 |
| NBA Playoffs: Who Will Win Series? - 76ers vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.684 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$19.90 |
| Will Oklahoma City Thunder advance to the 2026 NBA Finals? · Yes | 0.861 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$79.20at 0.662NBA Playoffs: Thunder vs. Spurs Total Games O/U 5.5
- +$49.20at 0.517United States vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
- +$41.96at 0.706Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$29.36at 0.927Will Argentina reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$26.43at 0.741Will Charlotte Hornets advance to the 2026 NBA Finals?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 20:55 | Will Paris Saint-Germain reach the 2027 UEFA Champions League Round of 16? | BUY | 0.88 | $169.18 |
| 08-28 20:47 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.9959999975 | $60.00 |
| 08-05 09:55 | Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.9689999992 | $8.00 |
| 08-02 20:49 | Will Atalanta qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? | BUY | 0.9689031091 | $50.00 |
| 07-25 17:25 | Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of August 2026? | BUY | 0.91 | $100.00 |
| 07-25 17:25 | LoL: Karmine Corp vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.8699999988 | $50.00 |
| 07-17 09:42 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | SELL | 0.51 | $66.52 |
| 07-10 22:32 | Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31? | BUY | 0.919999996 | $120.00 |
| 07-09 15:58 | France vs. Morocco: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.9249999986 | $16.00 |
| 07-07 18:50 | Will Novak Djokovic be the 2026 Men’s Wimbledon winner? | BUY | 0.9346609047 | $100.00 |
| 07-07 02:39 | Wimbledon ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Alexander Zverev | BUY | 0.93 | $22.00 |
| 07-07 02:24 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.86 | $80.00 |
| 07-06 23:43 | World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | BUY | 0.9439999941 | $77.00 |
| 07-06 16:27 | Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6699999972 | $50.00 |
| 07-05 00:08 | Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $51.00 |