PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

unsecured7308

0xe0d9407f4beec6a1c2dfa36f02f327303ebf8483

Realised P&L
$4.4k
Volume
$263.4k
Markets traded
1,219
Open portfolio
$4.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,219
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration37.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration45.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No0.5800.825$1.9k+$553.05
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? · No0.5450.710$651.75+$151.75
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? · No0.6810.685$502.70+$2.71
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? · No0.9260.925$263.35$0.20
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027? · No0.4350.435$224.01+$0.01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027? · No0.4150.430$206.20+$7.20
Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30? · No0.8240.895$194.82+$15.36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027? · No0.5520.565$189.38+$4.18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET · Up0.5610.000$0.00$145.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET · Up0.6900.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 30, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET · Up0.9800.000$0.00$100.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET · Up0.0440.000$0.00$5.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET · Up0.5690.000$0.00$40.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET · Up0.9400.000$0.00$400.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET · Down0.9900.000$0.00$78.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
09-15 12:36Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.93$38.55
09-15 12:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?BUY0.9249849371$225.00
09-15 12:35Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2027?BUY0.4349852416$224.00
09-15 12:33Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by July 31, 2027?BUY0.4149950343$199.00
09-14 10:00Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by April 30, 2027?BUY0.5525409469$185.21
09-14 09:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.989$871.75
09-14 09:56Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027?BUY0.6813103934$499.99
09-11 09:16Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.8248078337$59.46
09-10 09:25WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on September 10?BUY0.5899999995$294.25
09-10 08:45WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 10?BUY0.92$55.00
09-10 07:05Will Russia capture all of Chasiv Yar by September 30?BUY0.8242290198$120.00
09-03 06:38Bitcoin Up or Down - September 3, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETBUY0.7399999941$25.00
08-28 07:57Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?SELL0.95$500.65
08-22 16:08Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.7199999998$850.04
08-22 14:05Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:05AM-10:10AM ETBUY0.149999976$5.00