PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE0D31764306a1960c34A3dc099c7b83b82988e58-1761290641930

0xe0d31764306a1960c34a3dc099c7b83b82988e58

Realised P&L
$-64.10
Volume
$7.6k
Markets traded
99
Open portfolio
$12.18

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded99
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.1700.220$2.59+$0.59
Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0900.105$2.10+$0.30
Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4000.370$1.85−$0.15
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? · No0.2600.215$1.65−$0.35
Modi out by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.1700.105$1.24−$0.76
Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? · Yes0.0570.033$1.16−$0.84
Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? · Yes0.1660.064$0.77−$1.23
Will Solana reach $130 in October? · Yes0.2600.080$0.62−$1.38
US imports Russian diesel by October 31? · Yes0.2900.032$0.22−$1.78
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11? · Yes0.2170.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026? · No0.5400.000$0.00−$3.00
Will Tesla deliver between 450000 and 475000 vehicles in Q2 2026 · Yes0.2330.000$0.00−$2.00
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? · Yes0.0470.000$0.00−$2.00
Will Comey insult Trump by Friday? · Yes0.2400.000$0.00−$1.00
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April? · Yes0.0430.000$0.00−$3.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-12 06:26Will Solana reach $130 in October?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
10-12 06:25Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October?BUY0.1658536521$2.00
10-12 06:23Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October?BUY0.4599999034$2.00
10-12 06:22Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on October 13?BUY0.2814021198$2.00
10-12 06:21Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026?BUY0.4$2.00
10-12 06:20Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-12 06:20Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31?BUY0.0571428571$2.00
10-12 06:19US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?BUY0.2599999896$2.00
10-12 06:16Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026?BUY0.09$1.80
10-12 06:15US imports Russian diesel by October 31?BUY0.2899999884$2.00
10-12 06:15Modi out by June 30, 2027?BUY0.1699999983$2.00
10-12 06:13Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?SELL0.85$6.07
10-12 06:13Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?SELL0.92$5.75
07-15 17:39Will England win on 2026-07-15?BUY0.3624998595$1.00
07-15 17:38Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.581$5.45