0xE0D31764306a1960c34A3dc099c7b83b82988e58-1761290641930
0xe0d31764306a1960c34a3dc099c7b83b82988e58
- Realised P&L
- $-64.10
- Volume
- $7.6k
- Markets traded
- 99
- Open portfolio
- $12.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded99
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.06at 0.184Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?
- +$8.00at 0.200US strike on Syria by December 31?
- +$6.11at 0.450Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?
- +$4.23at 0.328Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?
- +$4.07at 0.280Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-12 06:26 | Will Solana reach $130 in October? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:25 | Will Ethereum reach $3,000 in October? | BUY | 0.1658536521 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:23 | Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in October? | BUY | 0.4599999034 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:22 | Will Magnus Carlsen win Titled Tuesday on October 13? | BUY | 0.2814021198 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:21 | Next Mistral Small (4.1+) released by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.4 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:20 | Syrian troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:20 | Will Iran release a Trump voicemail about the Strait of Hormuz by October 31? | BUY | 0.0571428571 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:19 | US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? | BUY | 0.2599999896 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:16 | Turkish troops enter Yemen by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $1.80 |
| 10-12 06:15 | US imports Russian diesel by October 31? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:15 | Modi out by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.1699999983 | $2.00 |
| 10-12 06:13 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.85 | $6.07 |
| 10-12 06:13 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | SELL | 0.92 | $5.75 |
| 07-15 17:39 | Will England win on 2026-07-15? | BUY | 0.3624998595 | $1.00 |
| 07-15 17:38 | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.581 | $5.45 |