PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

141849

0xe0d2f5d879533e09a3e55669f98b35b99d002b42

Realised P&L
$-94.87
Volume
$3.7k
Markets traded
56
Open portfolio
$84.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded56
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample44 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · No0.4450.410$41.00−$3.50
Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · No0.8810.794$38.11−$4.18
Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes0.2430.162$4.93−$2.47
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET · Up0.1200.000$0.00−$1.00
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET · Up0.2620.000$0.00−$5.00
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 5? · Yes0.1280.000$0.00−$3.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 25? · Down0.1900.000$0.00−$1.90
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET · Up0.4770.000$0.00−$5.00
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? · Down0.6800.000$0.00−$78.20
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? · Down0.3400.000$0.00−$1.70
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 23? · Down0.5600.000$0.00−$5.60
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 25? · Down0.2800.000$0.00−$5.60
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5? · Yes0.2020.000$0.00−$4.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-05 16:58Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.2239999928$2.97
10-05 02:42Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.871$15.68
10-05 02:37Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.283$2.83
10-05 02:29Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.47$23.50
10-05 02:28Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.887$26.61
10-05 02:26Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election?BUY0.223$1.60
04-06 15:16S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6?BUY0.34$1.70
04-05 19:17S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6?BUY0.68$78.20
04-02 15:31S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?SELL0.0024985714$0.17
04-02 14:03Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?BUY0.26$4.65
04-02 04:26Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5?BUY0.19$4.20
04-02 04:25Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 5?BUY0.12$2.62
04-02 04:20Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5?BUY0.34$15.38
04-02 02:48US forces enter Iran by April 30?BUY0.57$8.55
04-02 02:47S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week?BUY0.098$6.86