141849
0xe0d2f5d879533e09a3e55669f98b35b99d002b42
- Realised P&L
- $-94.87
- Volume
- $3.7k
- Markets traded
- 56
- Open portfolio
- $84.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded56
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample44 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration48.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.28at 0.520S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 24?
- +$19.99at 0.530S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 26?
- +$16.08at 0.380S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 27?
- +$14.03at 0.416Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET
- +$11.55at 0.269Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on April 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-05 16:58 | Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2239999928 | $2.97 |
| 10-05 02:42 | Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.871 | $15.68 |
| 10-05 02:37 | Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.283 | $2.83 |
| 10-05 02:29 | Will Lorenia Valles Sampedro win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.47 | $23.50 |
| 10-05 02:28 | Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.887 | $26.61 |
| 10-05 02:26 | Will Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.223 | $1.60 |
| 04-06 15:16 | S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 6? | BUY | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 04-05 19:17 | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on April 6? | BUY | 0.68 | $78.20 |
| 04-02 15:31 | S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week? | SELL | 0.0024985714 | $0.17 |
| 04-02 14:03 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.26 | $4.65 |
| 04-02 04:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.19 | $4.20 |
| 04-02 04:25 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.12 | $2.62 |
| 04-02 04:20 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 5? | BUY | 0.34 | $15.38 |
| 04-02 02:48 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $8.55 |
| 04-02 02:47 | S&P 500 breaks its losing streak this week? | BUY | 0.098 | $6.86 |