Paulosf
0xe0d1f36bfe8c73ccb24007346c790fe726fc82b1
- Realised P&L
- $-696.60
- Volume
- $239.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,389
- Open portfolio
- $62.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,389
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration7.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration68.4% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.390 | $42.39 | −$7.61 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on September 24? · Down | 0.490 | 0.500 | $19.61 | +$0.39 |
| AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score · Yes | 0.560 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? · Yes | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.40at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
- +$321.30at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
- +$321.30at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
- +$313.65at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
- +$313.65at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 22:44 | Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6799999981 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 22:43 | Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-09-20? | BUY | 0.7399999988 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 22:42 | AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6499999994 | $100.00 |
| 09-19 00:42 | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5099999984 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 00:40 | Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5599999955 | $50.00 |
| 09-19 00:40 | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19? | BUY | 0.5699999967 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 23:01 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-18 00:18 | Brentford FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.6699999971 | $50.00 |
| 09-18 00:16 | AS Monaco FC vs. Racing Club de Lens: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6599999979 | $50.00 |
| 09-17 21:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 19? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-16 21:41 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.47 | $9.40 |
| 09-15 22:27 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-09-16? | BUY | 0.4599999965 | $50.00 |
| 09-15 21:10 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 09-14 21:13 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on September 15? | BUY | 0.49 | $12.25 |
| 09-14 21:12 | Bitcoin Up or Down on September 16? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |