Paulosf
0xe0d1f36bfe8c73ccb24007346c790fe726fc82b1
- Realised P&L
- $-777.92
- Volume
- $213.1k
- Markets traded
- 1,253
- Open portfolio
- $417.64
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,253
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration10.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration34.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.490 | 0.955 | $143.20 | +$69.73 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Down | 0.490 | 0.510 | $76.49 | +$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 5? · Up | 0.490 | 0.490 | $73.49 | +$0.00 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.490 | 0.735 | $36.75 | +$12.25 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.490 | 0.935 | $28.05 | +$13.35 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Up | 0.490 | 0.970 | $19.40 | +$9.60 |
| Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch by December 31, 2027? · No | 0.480 | 0.475 | $17.72 | −$0.19 |
| Ethereum Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.490 | 0.265 | $13.25 | −$11.25 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.490 | 0.045 | $6.75 | −$66.75 |
| Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.490 | 0.065 | $1.95 | −$12.75 |
| Silver (XAGUSD) Up or Down on August 4? · Down | 0.490 | 0.030 | $0.60 | −$9.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$326.40at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 23?
- +$321.30at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
- +$321.30at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 21?
- +$313.65at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
- +$313.65at 0.490Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-26 15:32 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 27? | BUY | 0.46 | $23.00 |
| 07-23 16:36 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 24? | BUY | 0.46 | $4.86 |
| 07-22 18:51 | US Dollar / Brazilian Real (USD/BRL) Up or Down on July 22? | BUY | 0.98 | $4.90 |
| 07-19 17:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.49 | $49.00 |
| 07-19 17:05 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 20? | BUY | 0.39 | $3.90 |
| 07-13 21:48 | Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on July 14? | BUY | 0.49 | $4.90 |
| 07-03 08:50 | Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.031 | $110.71 |
| 07-02 01:28 | Will United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1899999373 | $2.00 |
| 07-01 08:16 | Will England win on 2026-07-01? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 08:15 | England vs. DR Congo: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.6499999675 | $5.00 |
| 07-01 08:10 | United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.4799999808 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 08:46 | Will France win on 2026-06-30? | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 06-30 08:45 | Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score | BUY | 0.5899999705 | $5.00 |
| 06-29 23:27 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.02 | $19.23 |
| 06-29 08:44 | Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.8699999983 | $5.00 |