0xe0cffeadf75b7ec5ed1e4b932949be3994008d65
0xe0cffeadf75b7ec5ed1e4b932949be3994008d65
- Realised P&L
- $-501.12
- Volume
- $12.4k
- Markets traded
- 736
- Open portfolio
- $3.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded736
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration14.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)28.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.620 | 0.415 | $2.95 | −$1.45 |
| Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.190 | 0.010 | $0.16 | −$2.84 |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.003 | $0.06 | −$4.94 |
| Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.290 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$3.99 |
| Will SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw? · Yes | 0.360 | 0.001 | $0.01 | −$4.99 |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$25.46at 0.312Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-04?
- +$19.41at 0.148Will Fleetwood Town FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
- +$14.88at 0.333Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-10-31?
- +$13.35at 0.205Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-10-28?
- +$13.14at 0.291Will AC Milan win on 2026-10-31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 22:21 | Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.6199999295 | $4.40 |
| 11-01 21:57 | Will Toronto FC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2899999884 | $4.00 |
| 11-01 21:56 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.49 |
| 11-01 21:29 | Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.269999993 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:28 | Will SC Braga vs. FC Famalicão end in a draw? | BUY | 0.3599999971 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 21:27 | Will Club Guabirá win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.1899999962 | $3.00 |
| 11-01 21:26 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.966 | $18.58 |
| 11-01 19:21 | Will Athletic Club win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.4899999824 | $5.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:20 | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.2799999978 | $10.00 |
| 11-01 19:11 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.999 | $21.39 |
| 11-01 15:52 | Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-11-01? | BUY | 0.3899999893 | $8.35 |
| 11-01 15:50 | Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.04 |
| 11-01 15:49 | Will 1. FC Köln win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.09 | $1.69 |
| 11-01 15:43 | Will Torino FC win on 2026-11-01? | SELL | 0.012 | $0.16 |