PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

Seferusnape

0xe0cb1206c4ccacdbbab3bc1d1268294a8bf08e37

Realised P&L
$-434.70
Volume
$61.1k
Markets traded
781
Open portfolio
$39.37

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded781
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration49.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat? · Yes0.1600.105$19.43−$10.18
Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026? · Yes0.0800.070$8.75−$1.25
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03? · Yes0.6000.605$5.04+$0.04
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5) · Paris Saint-Germain FC0.2100.205$4.88−$0.12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.2800.355$1.27+$0.27
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00−$2.50
Will Michigan State win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00−$2.00
Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder0.2300.000$0.00−$2.00
Commanders vs. Eagles · Eagles0.1570.000$0.00−$2.50
Commanders vs. Falcons · Commanders0.2720.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Jeremy Allen White win the Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$1.00
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0240.000$0.00−$6.00
US government shutdown Saturday? · No0.2000.000$0.00−$12.00
Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00−$1.00
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5) · Patriots0.5290.000$0.00−$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-27 17:06Milwaukee Brewers vs. Tampa Bay RaysBUY0.529999984$12.95
10-26 23:43Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)BUY0.2099999983$5.00
10-26 23:43Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-11-03?BUY0.599999976$5.00
10-26 23:42Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)BUY0.3899999945$5.00
10-26 23:42Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)BUY0.599999976$5.00
10-20 21:07Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)BUY0.4599999669$5.00
10-20 20:52Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20?SELL0.98$4.90
10-20 20:43Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?SELL0.15$9.75
10-20 20:14Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 2 - 0 FC Barcelona?BUY0.1$1.00
10-20 20:12Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 2 FC Barcelona?SELL0.042$0.76
10-20 19:43Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?SELL0.026$0.60
10-19 22:17Fort Worth: Jenson Brooksby vs Mitchell KruegerBUY0.4399998592$1.00
10-19 21:42Will the Republicans win the Arizona governor race in 2026?BUY0.08$10.00
10-19 21:37Will the Republican Party win the AZ-06 House seat?BUY0.16$40.00
10-19 20:20Exact Score: Paris Saint-Germain FC 3 - 3 FC Barcelona?BUY0.0429999999$1.00