betonjesus
0xe0caf8c03361758103650e84e69c8c547d550022
- Realised P&L
- $-315.67
- Volume
- $109.0k
- Markets traded
- 2,757
- Open portfolio
- $23.73
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,757
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration2.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$115.55at 0.464Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET
- +$86.87at 0.040Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET
- +$53.02at 0.344Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET
- +$52.98at 0.355Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET
- +$19.75at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-19 05:59 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 19, 1AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $7.80 |
| 09-19 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 9PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $56.43 |
| 09-17 16:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 12PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $52.37 |
| 09-17 09:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 17, 5AM ET | SELL | 0.21 | $12.56 |
| 09-15 12:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.0851674982 | $4.78 |
| 09-15 07:35 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 15, 3AM ET | BUY | 0.89 | $54.70 |
| 09-15 01:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 9PM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $13.82 |
| 09-14 19:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 3PM ET | BUY | 0.9 | $55.31 |
| 09-14 12:52 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 14, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $4.11 |
| 09-14 03:42 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 11PM ET | SELL | 0.26 | $16.58 |
| 09-13 13:47 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.25 | $15.78 |
| 09-13 07:55 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 3AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $13.20 |
| 09-11 20:51 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 4PM ET | SELL | 0.18 | $12.92 |
| 09-11 13:49 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 9AM ET | SELL | 0.12 | $8.00 |
| 09-11 12:37 | Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 8AM ET | SELL | 0.22 | $5.90 |