0xe0C3e3a1f7F08434b0c815ADF975900255629Da4-1771161897951
0xe0c3e3a1f7f08434b0c815adf975900255629da4
- Realised P&L
- $-0.44
- Volume
- $27.3k
- Markets traded
- 18
- Open portfolio
- $16.92
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded18
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- ClearProfit concentration27.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)41.2%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? · No | 0.999 | 0.996 | $16.92 | −$0.06 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$0.26at 0.990Will the price of Ethereum be less than $1,500 on March 1?
- +$0.24at 0.991Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on February 19?
- +$0.22at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?
- +$0.12at 0.992Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on August 5?
- +$0.07at 0.996Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 7?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 09:27 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on September 30? | BUY | 0.999 | $16.98 |
| 07-03 04:33 | Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.004 | $7.96 |
| 06-22 08:20 | Will Jumanji 3 be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-19 04:22 | Will The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.006 | $9.54 |
| 05-13 03:12 | Will Czechia win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.005 | $9.45 |
| 04-25 04:07 | Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.76 |
| 04-23 08:07 | Will the Arizona Cardinals win the 2027 NFL league championship? | BUY | 0.008 | $9.92 |
| 04-22 08:56 | Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.72 |
| 04-21 08:10 | Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.008 | $10.00 |
| 04-20 07:14 | Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.009 | $9.99 |
| 03-23 02:48 | Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.984 | $629.76 |