0xe0c01b92cd42f2f7e7de087a8f0db034d0033428
0xe0c01b92cd42f2f7e7de087a8f0db034d0033428
- Realised P&L
- $10.99
- Volume
- $404.40
- Markets traded
- 6
- Open portfolio
- $8.00
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded6
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration78.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falcons vs. Saints · Falcons | 0.500 | 0.420 | $8.00 | −$1.52 |
| Buenos Aires 2: Joaquin Aguilar vs Juan Pablo Varillas · Juan Pablo Varillas | 0.280 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.65 |
| Ole Miss vs. Florida · Ole Miss | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$11.36 |
| Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm · Seattle Storm | 0.011 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.62 |
| Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners · Houston Astros | 0.440 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.89 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$37.22at 0.111Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire
- +$10.30at 0.320Falcons vs. Packers
- +$-7.74at 0.500Butler vs. Valparaiso
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-26 21:18 | Butler vs. Valparaiso | SELL | 0.02 | $0.32 |
| 09-25 00:55 | Falcons vs. Packers | BUY | 0.32 | $4.85 |
| 09-24 04:21 | Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.44 | $4.89 |
| 09-24 04:16 | Dallas Wings vs. Seattle Storm | BUY | 0.011 | $2.62 |
| 09-23 04:27 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | SELL | 0.9458423524 | $42.30 |
| 09-22 18:35 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.109999999 | $3.16 |
| 09-22 18:35 | Golden State Valkyries vs. Portland Fire | BUY | 0.1 | $1.60 |