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0xe0bc57e12022b0a3b75504bdd1fa859a1308e1d3
- Realised P&L
- $78.62
- Volume
- $9.3k
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $824.19
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- CautionProfit concentration35.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Stephen Wilson Jr. win New Artist of the Year at the 2026 CMA Awards? · No | 0.498 | 0.715 | $304.22 | +$92.21 |
| Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? · Yes | 0.136 | 0.288 | $204.64 | +$108.09 |
| Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes | 0.197 | 0.514 | $182.85 | +$112.80 |
| Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? · Yes | 0.356 | 0.509 | $132.47 | +$39.86 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.68at 0.055Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?
- +$13.63at 0.332Will Cristian Mungiu be nominated for Best Director at the 99th Academy Awards?
- +$9.98at 0.288Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October?
- +$6.76at 0.047Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary?
- +$-2.31at 0.963Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-20 14:30 | Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.25 |
| 10-20 14:30 | Will Paper Trail win Best Animated Short Film at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.29 | $6.25 |
| 10-20 14:29 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.184 | $3.68 |
| 10-20 14:21 | Will General Mills Q2 organic net sales growth be between 0% and 1.5%? | SELL | 0.4005799281 | $30.10 |
| 10-20 14:17 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.184 | $3.68 |
| 10-20 14:17 | Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.0201428571 | $1.41 |
| 10-20 14:16 | Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.042702631 | $31.05 |
| 10-20 14:12 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.1693846154 | $11.01 |
| 10-20 14:12 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.1993333333 | $11.96 |
| 10-20 14:04 | Will Tricia McLaughlin be the next White House Press Secretary? | BUY | 0.0280074817 | $20.36 |
| 10-20 14:01 | Will Elizabeth Pipko be the next White House Press Secretary? | SELL | 0.05 | $14.36 |
| 10-20 13:55 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.189 | $7.56 |
| 10-20 13:55 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | SELL | 0.19275 | $7.71 |
| 10-20 13:47 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 56.0 and 56.9 in October? | BUY | 0.130988817 | $127.91 |
| 10-20 13:44 | Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 53.0 and 53.9 in October? | SELL | 0.28 | $37.52 |