PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

0xE0baAe7e7F862a408A662338Cf9658B1Ed3dfa03-1771731668963

0xe0baae7e7f862a408a662338cf9658b1ed3dfa03

Realised P&L
$1.4k
Volume
$265.0k
Markets traded
49
Open portfolio
$8.8k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded49
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample30 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.1220.105$3.7k$596.82
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? · Yes0.2370.162$3.2k$1.5k
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? · No0.9340.972$1.0k+$40.15
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? · Yes0.4990.160$370.35$784.07
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0120.021$249.98+$114.42
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0420.064$151.19+$51.19
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0250.025$49.00$1.00
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0110.001$3.64$76.36
Will Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire end in a draw? · Yes0.1150.000$0.00$1.3k
Will South Africa vs. Korea Republic end in a draw? · Yes0.2300.000$0.00$100.00
Will Canada win on 2026-06-24? · Yes0.2800.000$0.00$100.00
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-24? · No0.5690.000$0.00$500.00
Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.3300.000$0.00$330.00
Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? · Yes0.1500.000$0.00$500.00
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? · Yes0.2250.000$0.00$676.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-31 12:37Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.124$2.0k
07-31 12:34Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.124$124.00
07-09 22:46Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?SELL0.265$122.57
07-08 08:45Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.134$32.37
07-01 12:29Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?BUY0.229$68.70
06-25 11:40Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.31$107.30
06-25 11:38Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.33$118.80
06-25 11:36Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.39$312.00
06-24 03:15Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?BUY0.4899999999$1000.00
06-24 03:13Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw?BUY0.1499999998$500.00
06-24 03:10Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.5099999997$400.00
06-24 03:09Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.75$300.00
06-24 03:07Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw?BUY0.1299999995$200.00
06-23 15:38Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL0.15$639.71
06-23 03:30Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?BUY0.51$255.00