0xE0baAe7e7F862a408A662338Cf9658B1Ed3dfa03-1771731668963
0xe0baae7e7f862a408a662338cf9658b1ed3dfa03
- Realised P&L
- $1.4k
- Volume
- $265.0k
- Markets traded
- 49
- Open portfolio
- $8.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded49
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration47.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample30 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration42.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$6.2kat 0.093Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$2.7kat 0.487Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$2.0kat 0.092Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw?
- +$1.0kat 0.497Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?
- +$516.52at 0.483Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-31 12:37 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.124 | $2.0k |
| 07-31 12:34 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.124 | $124.00 |
| 07-09 22:46 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | SELL | 0.265 | $122.57 |
| 07-08 08:45 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.134 | $32.37 |
| 07-01 12:29 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BUY | 0.229 | $68.70 |
| 06-25 11:40 | Will Colombia reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.31 | $107.30 |
| 06-25 11:38 | Will Mexico reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.33 | $118.80 |
| 06-25 11:36 | Will England reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.39 | $312.00 |
| 06-24 03:15 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | BUY | 0.4899999999 | $1000.00 |
| 06-24 03:13 | Will Senegal vs. Iraq end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1499999998 | $500.00 |
| 06-24 03:10 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.5099999997 | $400.00 |
| 06-24 03:09 | Will Czechia win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.75 | $300.00 |
| 06-24 03:07 | Will Morocco vs. Haiti end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999995 | $200.00 |
| 06-23 15:38 | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | SELL | 0.15 | $639.71 |
| 06-23 03:30 | Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24? | BUY | 0.51 | $255.00 |