DarrenPerez3911
0xe0b82e625b967e5ca6918300365548ec44690ec1
- Realised P&L
- $-500.55
- Volume
- $64.4k
- Markets traded
- 62
- Open portfolio
- $21.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded62
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration28.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)44.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Rhode Island governor race in 2026? · Yes | 0.870 | 0.956 | $21.99 | +$1.98 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$161.27at 0.547Will "The Housemaid" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?
- +$87.72at 0.490Will Trump say "Putin" or "Zelenskyy" while addressing the nation on December 17?
- +$69.50at 0.710Will Jacob Elordi be nominated for Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$61.44at 0.560Will the Orlando Magic win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
- +$60.48at 0.252Will GNX (Kendrick Lamar) win Album of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-21 10:57 | Will Charles Herbster win the 2026 Nebraska Governor Republican primary election? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.26 |
| 02-26 23:22 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.64 | $165.76 |
| 02-24 22:10 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February? | SELL | 0.91 | $257.53 |
| 02-24 17:41 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.77 | $137.83 |
| 02-06 12:59 | Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in February? | BUY | 0.74 | $209.42 |
| 02-06 12:23 | Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.75 | $134.25 |
| 02-06 07:19 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%? | SELL | 0.53 | $146.28 |
| 02-05 16:32 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | SELL | 0.87 | $645.54 |
| 02-05 15:22 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $414.12 |
| 02-05 14:22 | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31? | BUY | 0.87 | $231.42 |
| 02-05 10:31 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | SELL | 0.64 | $227.20 |
| 02-05 01:23 | Sundar Pichai out as Google CEO before 2027? | SELL | 0.86 | $221.88 |
| 02-04 14:48 | Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31? | BUY | 0.62 | $220.10 |
| 02-04 14:08 | Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%? | BUY | 0.55 | $151.80 |
| 02-04 03:17 | Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster? | SELL | 0.86 | $390.44 |