0xe0b6c9c45eba8961bc1d62fdae65adc5e4d495d0
- Realised P&L
- $-83.80
- Volume
- $9.9k
- Markets traded
- 311
- Open portfolio
- $101.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded311
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$45.92at 0.098Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on September 15?
- +$15.80at 0.240Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 10?
- +$15.27at 0.250Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?
- +$9.83at 0.340Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 12?
- +$8.81at 0.364Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-18 07:47 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.04 | $0.32 |
| 09-18 07:14 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.41 | $3.62 |
| 09-18 05:26 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.3234848485 | $3.84 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4132659933 | $4.91 |
| 09-18 04:32 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.4410793934 | $4.94 |
| 09-18 03:57 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.45 | $3.97 |
| 09-18 03:46 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.53625 | $4.29 |
| 09-18 03:24 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.46 | $3.85 |
| 09-18 02:20 | Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on September 18? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.94 |
| 09-18 01:58 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.48 | $3.30 |
| 09-18 01:48 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.45 | $3.15 |
| 09-18 01:36 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.42 | $3.71 |
| 09-18 00:10 | Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18? | SELL | 0.78 | $7.41 |
| 09-17 22:35 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 19? | BUY | 0.55 | $4.86 |
| 09-17 22:12 | Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on September 19? | SELL | 0.37 | $3.73 |