0xe0b0fb6da684e56c14c2c1cd3f2398d011f03217
- Realised P&L
- $-250.20
- Volume
- $4.4k
- Markets traded
- 10
- Open portfolio
- $603.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-5.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded10
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration71.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration82.6% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? · No | 0.938 | 0.935 | $498.18 | −$1.82 |
| KOSPI all-time high before 2028? · No | 0.310 | 0.325 | $104.84 | +$4.84 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$60.93at 0.373France vs. England: Team to Win
- +$15.59at 0.865Will Denmark be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
- +$6.29at 0.812Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026?
- +$1.88at 0.720Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of June?
- +$-10.45at 0.209Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-13 14:03 | KOSPI all-time high before 2028? | BUY | 0.3099999992 | $100.00 |
| 09-13 12:00 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.9384148284 | $500.00 |
| 07-19 21:54 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0673872998 | $25.59 |
| 07-19 07:14 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.4099999969 | $50.00 |
| 07-18 18:08 | Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout? | BUY | 0.2 | $10.00 |
| 07-17 08:01 | France vs. England: Team to Win | BUY | 0.3599999942 | $35.00 |
| 07-15 21:55 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.419 | $107.99 |
| 07-12 21:43 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | SELL | 0.8903647908 | $214.54 |
| 07-12 21:43 | Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | SELL | 0.8711037191 | $108.68 |
| 07-07 17:33 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | SELL | 0.17 | $31.69 |
| 07-07 17:23 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.53 | $13.00 |
| 07-07 16:58 | Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.6199999983 | $100.37 |
| 07-03 13:33 | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.1939999986 | $100.00 |
| 06-13 20:24 | Will Turkey schedule early presidential elections in 2026? | BUY | 0.8299999966 | $200.00 |
| 06-13 20:23 | Turkish Constitutional Referendum announced in 2026? | BUY | 0.8014986149 | $100.00 |