khdp04lxzzqc
0xe0ae96e744503646c9206e49bb09088c433bcb88
- Realised P&L
- $-16.24
- Volume
- $1.2k
- Markets traded
- 43
- Open portfolio
- $10.10
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded43
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration45.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample38 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.6%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| China x Philippines military clash before 2027? · Yes | 0.280 | 0.285 | $4.07 | +$0.07 |
| Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes | 0.580 | 0.320 | $2.21 | −$1.79 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · Yes | 0.148 | 0.080 | $1.47 | −$1.27 |
| Will Gavin Newsom be arrested before 2027? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.025 | $1.25 | −$2.75 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? · Yes | 0.420 | 0.115 | $1.10 | −$2.90 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$19.32at 0.179Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be greater than 38m?
- +$4.68at 0.522Mexico vs. England: Both Teams to Score
- +$4.59at 0.451Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?
- +$3.91at 0.495Will "Minions & Monsters" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 68m and 77m?
- +$3.37at 0.545Will Graham Platner drop out before the Midterms?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-14 03:55 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.01 |
| 09-14 03:54 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.34 | $0.01 |
| 09-13 13:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.40 |
| 09-13 13:29 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.31 | $0.43 |
| 09-13 12:48 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.28 |
| 09-13 12:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.00 |
| 09-13 12:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.21 |
| 09-13 12:45 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.23 | $0.02 |
| 09-11 08:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.27 | $0.46 |
| 09-11 06:38 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | SELL | 0.17 | $0.31 |
| 09-04 11:57 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.1480019455 | $4.00 |
| 09-02 06:17 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | SELL | 0.981 | $2.11 |
| 09-02 06:13 | Will Tropical Storm Saudel make landfall in Japan? | BUY | 0.9799999069 | $4.00 |
| 08-19 05:55 | Will Dan S. Sullivan win the most votes in the Alaska Senate primary final round? | BUY | 0.975999998 | $4.00 |
| 08-09 12:28 | WKS Slask Wroclaw vs. KS Cracovia Krakow: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.4899999822 | $1.10 |