PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

The101

0xe0a82519abff8c758191356c82ea9885f8702fb3

Realised P&L
$127.83
Volume
$22.4k
Markets traded
331
Open portfolio
$2.6k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded331
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration86.7% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)90.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30? · Yes0.6801.000$910.72+$291.43
Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.4410.685$786.49+$280.65
Will Scott Wiener receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · Yes0.6381.000$353.70+$127.83
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31? · Yes0.9671.000$310.24+$10.24
Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30? · Yes0.2551.000$195.77+$145.77
Will Nikolai Denkov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? · Yes0.2270.013$5.92$101.60
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.6560.002$1.05$342.00
Will Sara Rodriguez win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.2290.002$0.97$147.46
Will Mandela Barnes win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election? · Yes0.5330.001$0.29$311.09
Will Arab Socialist Ba'ath Party in Lebanon win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election? · Yes0.1910.001$0.22$85.71
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0200.000$0.00$14.85
Will Croatia win Eurovision 2026? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$59.94
Will Sharif Street be the Democratic nominee for PA-03? · Yes0.5280.000$0.00$152.58
Will Connie Chan receive the most votes in the CA-11 primary? · Yes0.2370.000$0.00$71.00
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? · Yes0.1540.000$0.00$56.99

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-25 04:54Will the US government rescind its ban on all foreign use of Claude Fable 5 by June 30?BUY0.2554027477$50.00
06-25 04:51Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by December 31?BUY0.9669999999$300.00
06-18 19:56Will Discord’s market cap be between $15B and $20B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.002$0.78
06-18 19:56Will Discord’s market cap be less than $15B at market close on IPO day?SELL0.002$1.31
06-18 19:41Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.00
06-18 19:41Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.001$0.01
06-06 20:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETSELL0.85$6.21
06-06 20:09Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ETBUY0.6841572917$5.00
03-24 02:48Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:45PM-10:50PM ETBUY0.89999976$2.99
03-24 02:43Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:40PM-10:45PM ETBUY0.8499999717$2.98
03-24 02:39Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETBUY0.98$3.00
03-24 02:23Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETBUY0.98$1.00
03-24 02:13Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETBUY0.95$1.00
03-24 02:08Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETBUY0.9399999937$3.00
03-24 02:03Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 10:00PM-10:05PM ETBUY0.97$1.00