tirer
0xe09bb9c42f2a5b6bebf503e1c5bcffafd285d14c
- Realised P&L
- $218.29
- Volume
- $24.6k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $68.96
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration26.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- CautionSettled sample26 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)73.1%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? · Yes | 0.317 | 0.157 | $68.96 | −$70.37 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET · Up | 0.305 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$38.09 |
| Will Sentient launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.127 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$33.00 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga? · Yes | 0.370 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$223.34at 0.626MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch?
- +$162.17at 0.441Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?
- +$87.79at 0.700Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET
- +$74.73at 0.516EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?
- +$62.40at 0.650US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-20 14:38 | Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.157353781 | $48.70 |
| 05-16 22:33 | Will Israel win Eurovision 2026? | BUY | 0.8039591094 | $494.48 |
| 05-06 20:01 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | SELL | 0.43 | $56.08 |
| 05-06 18:56 | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06? | BUY | 0.2299999952 | $30.00 |
| 05-05 23:30 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.21 | $184.03 |
| 04-30 13:00 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899999986 | $100.00 |
| 04-29 14:08 | Gensyn FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.005862301 | $1.86 |
| 04-29 14:07 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.0205652617 | $7.87 |
| 04-28 21:52 | Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $36.00 |
| 04-23 15:54 | MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.73 | $367.40 |
| 04-22 12:48 | MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $9.12 |
| 04-22 12:47 | MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.73 | $217.50 |
| 04-22 12:47 | MegaETH FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.72 | $131.57 |
| 04-22 12:26 | Gensyn FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.07 | $62.36 |
| 04-22 11:42 | Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán? | SELL | 0.005 | $15.00 |