HowBoutThemCowboys
0xe091f3c6406242d00ad05c562a700a21dee39549
- Realised P&L
- $74.8k
- Volume
- $904.7k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $85.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar8.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample18 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.9%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration38.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$49.6kat 0.636Will a Republican win Nevada Presidential Election?
- +$11.2kat 0.209Trump wins every swing state?
- +$8.6kat 0.1842024 presidential election: GOP wins by 65-104
- +$6.4kat 0.581Will a Republican win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
- +$4.9kat 0.670Will a Republican win North Carolina Presidential Election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11-01 19:47 | Chiefs vs. Broncos | BUY | 0.51 | $5.0k |
| 11-01 17:42 | Spread: Jaguars (-10.5) | BUY | 0.53 | $3.0k |
| 11-01 17:25 | Spread: Cowboys (-6.5) | BUY | 0.57 | $3.0k |
| 10-28 22:10 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.38 | $10.0k |
| 10-28 22:10 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.2398493985 | $2.0k |
| 10-28 22:09 | Will the Republican Party hold 57 or more Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? | BUY | 0.0162150544 | $1000.00 |
| 10-28 22:08 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.32 | $10.0k |
| 10-27 00:17 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.355369549 | $5.0k |
| 10-27 00:13 | Cowboys vs. Eagles | BUY | 0.6699999999 | $2.5k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.442390445 | $14.7k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4599999999 | $1.0k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.4298543329 | $9.2k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.37 | $8.7k |
| 10-26 20:53 | Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BUY | 0.3658002797 | $16.3k |
| 10-26 20:13 | Will the Republican Party win the AZ-01 House seat? | BUY | 0.1947005109 | $4.5k |