groooot
0xe0919c5db9545b6bee7a7a100d1b15f053290e5d
- Realised P&L
- $-970.60
- Volume
- $125.0k
- Markets traded
- 517
- Open portfolio
- $99.65
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded517
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)88.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 17? · No | 0.977 | 0.997 | $99.65 | +$1.95 |
| Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 96°F or higher on September 9? · No | 0.950 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$66.50 |
| Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? · Yes | 0.008 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$152.69at 0.745XRP Up or Down - January 12, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET
- +$103.58at 0.741XRP Up or Down - January 12, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET
- +$101.80at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
- +$101.80at 0.745Bitcoin Up or Down - January 12, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET
- +$97.07at 0.797XRP Up or Down - December 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-16 03:45 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 84°F or higher on September 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-11 03:25 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.999 | $24.98 |
| 09-10 21:34 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on September 10? | SELL | 0.98 | $73.50 |
| 09-09 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.85 | $12.73 |
| 09-09 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.86 | $4.30 |
| 09-09 00:45 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.20 |
| 09-09 00:38 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 94-95°F on September 9? | SELL | 0.86 | $51.60 |
| 09-08 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 90°F or higher on September 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $46.82 |
| 09-08 00:29 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on September 7? | SELL | 0.999 | $59.94 |
| 09-05 01:55 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 84-85°F on September 6? | SELL | 0.99 | $99.00 |
| 09-04 01:07 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on September 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $49.94 |
| 09-03 16:29 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on September 3? | SELL | 0.92 | $3.91 |
| 09-02 22:16 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on September 2? | SELL | 0.995 | $99.50 |
| 08-29 02:56 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 90-91°F on August 28? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 08-27 11:17 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 88-89°F on August 28? | SELL | 0.92 | $92.00 |