PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

MacroStratFirm

0xe090aba178f85de742aabce81da68903e906727f

Realised P&L
$-1.2k
Volume
$40.6k
Markets traded
47
Open portfolio
$847.77

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded47
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample40 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)57.5%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert Hurkacz · Novak Djokovic0.6300.645$296.37+$6.89
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio Cobolli · Flavio Cobolli0.6500.635$282.62−$6.68
Raiders vs. Patriots · Patriots0.6300.625$207.67−$1.66
Will the Republicans win the Texas governor race in 2026? · Yes0.7240.737$36.85+$0.65
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? · Yes0.8300.825$24.26−$0.15
Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election? · Yes0.7200.000$0.00−$102.96
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · No0.7480.000$0.00−$237.17

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
10-08 21:35Raiders vs. PatriotsBUY0.63$209.33
10-08 17:50Shanghai Rolex Masters: Adrian Mannarino vs Flavio CobolliBUY0.65$289.30
10-08 16:19Shanghai Rolex Masters: Novak Djokovic vs Hubert HurkaczBUY0.63$289.48
10-08 04:12Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31?SELL0.8$228.06
10-08 01:46Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.154$85.49
10-07 04:15US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?SELL0.896502924$7.67
10-06 16:10Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.83$275.31
10-06 09:22Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?SELL0.9514518038$421.18
10-06 03:28US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?SELL0.72$322.50
10-06 03:02Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.26$33.28
10-06 02:56Russia-Ukraine peace talks by October 31, 2026?SELL0.27$5.94
10-05 11:17Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?SELL0.9$8.56
10-04 11:55Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?SELL0.9$342.97
10-01 22:31US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026?SELL0.75$385.16
10-01 01:19Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.3809275771$302.91