PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

elegacy

0xe08bbc53d42e5ceacfe5bcbabf71bbdb9077f2f2

Realised P&L
$-170.05
Volume
$13.4k
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$99.76

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration98.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample3 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration38.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0820.105$38.60+$8.60
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? · Yes0.3580.225$31.42$18.58
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0140.024$16.79+$6.79
Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? · Yes0.0680.038$5.66$4.34
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes0.1500.040$5.27$14.73
Will Charles Leclerc be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0560.005$1.98$18.02
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0900.001$0.06$9.94
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0090.000$0.00$10.00
Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? · Yes0.0810.000$0.00$10.00
Will the United States win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics? · Yes0.1900.000$0.00$10.00
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0850.000$0.00$10.00
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0170.000$0.00$10.00
Will Cadillac be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? · Yes0.0070.000$0.00$10.00
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0340.000$0.00$10.00
Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes0.0210.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-21 19:41Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.0849999928$10.00
04-16 02:27Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.014$10.00
02-21 00:01Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?BUY0.149999994$20.00
02-20 19:02US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?BUY0.25$10.00
02-19 00:26Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY0.0819999976$30.00
01-29 22:51Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the 2026 State of the Union address?SELL0.31926368$20.60
01-29 21:04Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026?BUY0.0679999939$10.00
01-29 20:57Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during the announcement on Thursday?BUY0.15$15.00
01-26 23:50Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?BUY0.008$10.00
01-26 04:11Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.009$10.00
01-26 04:10Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.034$10.00
01-26 04:10Will Italy win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.021$10.00
01-26 04:10Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.017$10.00
01-24 22:31Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0811399097$10.00
01-24 22:31Will Oscar Piastri be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?BUY0.0899999919$10.00