coolsage
0xe07e995fdafb3355092ece65f61d185cfa13483e
- Realised P&L
- $-121.61
- Volume
- $1.1k
- Markets traded
- 108
- Open portfolio
- $5.37
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-11.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded108
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration31.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration31.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? · No | 0.941 | 0.985 | $1.69 | +$0.07 |
| Will the Democratic Party win the MO-01 House seat? · Yes | 0.940 | 0.984 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
| Will Treg Taylor win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No | 0.898 | 1.000 | $1.34 | +$0.14 |
| Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No | 0.910 | 0.613 | $0.77 | −$0.37 |
| Pacers vs. Hornets · Pacers | 0.103 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Rockets vs. Lakers · Rockets | 0.686 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Pistons vs. Knicks · Knicks | 0.610 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.37 |
| Spread: Flyers (-1.5) · Penguins | 0.716 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Suns · Suns | 0.667 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Magic vs. Kings · Kings | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.10 |
| Madrid Open: Zhizhen Zhang vs Vit Kopriva · Zhizhen Zhang | 0.537 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Trail Blazers vs. Bulls · Bulls | 0.380 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| US bank failure by January 31? · No | 0.960 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Timberwolves vs. Celtics · Celtics | 0.790 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.38 |
| Hawks vs. 76ers · 76ers | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$295.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$170.51at 0.410Chargers vs. Jaguars
- +$6.93at 0.18476ers vs. Celtics
- +$1.97at 0.367Pelicans vs. Kings
- +$1.91at 0.357LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs
- +$1.34at 0.510Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-28 04:10 | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.8599997764 | $1.00 |
| 08-27 03:52 | LoL: Valerion vs Gamespace Mediterranean College Esports (BO5) - HLL Playoffs | BUY | 0.86 | $1.29 |
| 06-04 15:38 | Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-04? | BUY | 0.4499997975 | $1.00 |
| 06-03 04:08 | Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Balaji/Demoliner vs Helioevaara/Patten | BUY | 0.849999964 | $1.18 |
| 05-31 02:31 | Miami Marlins vs. New York Mets | BUY | 0.6 | $1.17 |
| 05-28 10:49 | ITF Kayseri: Maxwell Mckennon vs Pablo Perez Ramos | BUY | 0.64 | $1.00 |
| 05-28 10:49 | ITF Kayseri: Emily Sartz-Lunde vs Ingkar Dyussebay | BUY | 0.2799998564 | $1.17 |
| 05-23 23:57 | Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23? | BUY | 0.98 | $1.81 |
| 04-28 15:11 | Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026? | BUY | 0.88199997 | $1.82 |
| 04-28 15:10 | Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April? | BUY | 0.999 | $1.78 |
| 04-28 15:09 | Trump ballroom project unblocked by April 30? | SELL | 0.952 | $1.37 |
| 04-28 15:09 | Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election? | SELL | 0.74 | $2.33 |
| 04-28 14:08 | LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup North America Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.3499998486 | $1.04 |
| 04-28 14:08 | LoL: Frites Esports Club vs The Bandits (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular Season | BUY | 0.8899999515 | $1.10 |
| 04-28 14:07 | LoL: Natus Vincere vs Galions (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Playoffs | BUY | 0.9 | $1.13 |