0xE073BB69bd0D82a2f9b417A7B6Ac68656Ad89959-1766014458660
0xe073bb69bd0d82a2f9b417a7b6ac68656ad89959
- Realised P&L
- $9.4k
- Volume
- $460.8k
- Markets traded
- 197
- Open portfolio
- $1.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.0%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded197
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration99.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.6kat 0.054Will NEOM SC win on 2026-09-07?
- +$6.1kat 0.140Will Greece win on 2026-09-27?
- +$2.1kat 0.091Will MH Hapoel Be'er Sheva win on 2026-08-11?
- +$2.0kat 0.025Will SSV Jeddeloh II win on 2026-08-23?
- +$1.4kat 0.066Will Paris FC win on 2026-01-12?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-29 15:43 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.08 | $931.84 |
| 09-29 15:39 | Will Belarus win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.13 | $319.00 |
| 09-29 15:30 | Will Czechia win on 2026-09-29? | BUY | 0.0810669261 | $97.00 |
| 09-27 18:38 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1345762471 | $693.00 |
| 09-27 18:38 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.13 | $163.00 |
| 09-27 18:32 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1399999998 | $99.00 |
| 09-27 18:19 | Will Greece win on 2026-09-27? | BUY | 0.1399999832 | $1.00 |
| 09-26 20:35 | Will England vs. Spain end in a draw? | BUY | 0.1299999999 | $35.58 |
| 09-26 18:20 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0401876584 | $99.00 |
| 09-26 18:16 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0401627906 | $449.63 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0356421447 | $476.04 |
| 09-26 18:10 | Will Moldova win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0433640649 | $33.48 |
| 09-26 15:59 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0204220558 | $45.00 |
| 09-26 15:59 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.0195350654 | $30.00 |
| 09-26 15:57 | Will San Marino win on 2026-09-26? | BUY | 0.020035327 | $50.00 |