Flatten9696
0xe0738d4b18f6805a73acfd28c260688503f718d9
- Realised P&L
- $-2.3k
- Volume
- $487.8k
- Markets traded
- 436
- Open portfolio
- $7.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded436
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration24.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration72.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.904 | 0.975 | $5.7k | +$410.24 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.992 | $904.55 | +$4.21 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.981 | 0.994 | $637.23 | +$8.02 |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.897 | 0.967 | $624.50 | +$44.76 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$289.06at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22?
- +$265.22at 0.964Will Bitcoin dip to $82,000 January 12-18?
- +$257.00at 0.486XRP Up or Down - December 17, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$207.00at 0.482XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
- +$206.99at 0.482XRP Up or Down - December 17, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-24 15:13 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.974 | $389.60 |
| 10-18 14:39 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.957 | $471.80 |
| 10-18 14:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.958 | $1.9k |
| 10-18 14:32 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.959 | $444.98 |
| 10-17 16:48 | Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in October? | SELL | 0.961 | $101.87 |
| 10-15 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-15 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.996 | $5.08 |
| 10-15 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.9949273044 | $68.43 |
| 10-15 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,900 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.994 | $4.97 |
| 10-15 13:22 | Will Ethereum reach $2,800 October 12-18? | BUY | 0.995 | $4.97 |
| 10-15 04:49 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 10-15 04:48 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.982 | $4.91 |
| 10-14 19:26 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $488.07 |
| 10-14 19:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.986 | $488.07 |
| 10-14 19:16 | Will Ethereum reach $3,400 in October? | BUY | 0.985 | $4.92 |