Flatten9696
0xe0738d4b18f6805a73acfd28c260688503f718d9
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $466.3k
- Markets traded
- 424
- Open portfolio
- $7.7k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded424
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration73.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes | 0.904 | 0.966 | $5.6k | +$358.06 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.987 | 0.990 | $902.72 | +$2.38 |
| Solana all time high by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.875 | 0.966 | $477.91 | +$44.87 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.860 | 0.905 | $452.49 | +$22.50 |
| Solana all time high by September 30, 2026? · No | 0.937 | 0.995 | $224.69 | +$13.07 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in May? · Yes | 0.061 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.50 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.8kat 0.745Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 April 13-19?
- +$1.6kat 0.792Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 March 9-15?
- +$551.96at 0.747Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 on March 9?
- +$447.85at 0.749Will Meta AI - Assistant & Glasses be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on April 14?
- +$289.06at 0.978Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 February 16-22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-07 09:20 | Will Vinted be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.887 | $44.35 |
| 09-06 08:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.987 | $801.74 |
| 09-06 08:01 | Will TikTok Pro - Events be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.99 | $7.92 |
| 09-06 08:01 | Will MapQuest GPS Navigation & Maps be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on September 11? | BUY | 0.89 | $178.00 |
| 08-20 03:46 | Will Bitcoin dip to $56,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.999 | $300.70 |
| 08-19 17:52 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.565 | $390.98 |
| 08-19 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.349 | $73.29 |
| 08-19 16:28 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.363 | $10.89 |
| 08-19 16:26 | Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 August 17-23? | BUY | 0.992 | $99.20 |
| 08-19 16:06 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.436 | $4.36 |
| 08-19 16:02 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.48 | $4.80 |
| 08-19 15:41 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.371 | $31.52 |
| 08-19 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.37 | $248.07 |
| 08-19 15:40 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.372 | $224.32 |
| 08-19 15:39 | Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 August 17-23? | SELL | 0.372 | $3.72 |