PolyBot

Market data · no accounts, no trading

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Traders

adriano2026

0xe06f785038334755e4e23ff04569d1fd32a17b53

Realised P&L
$-31.84
Volume
$1.0k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$2.04

Can you copy this trader?

difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample25 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? · Yes0.4900.102$2.04−$7.81
Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23? · Yes0.5000.000$0.00−$5.00
CA Belgrano vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2010.000$0.00−$10.00
Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over0.3000.000$0.00−$3.00
Exact Score: CA Belgrano 2 - 2 CSyD Defensa y Justicia? · Yes0.1400.000$0.00−$0.70
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7? · Yes0.1700.000$0.00−$3.40
Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over0.2640.000$0.00−$10.00
FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 · Over0.1400.000$0.00−$5.00
Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5 · Over0.2400.000$0.00−$2.00
Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.0500.000$0.00−$0.08

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-27 21:29Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August?SELL0.69$3.63
08-27 21:29US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?SELL0.43$8.64
08-27 21:29Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?SELL0.43$8.64
08-27 15:05Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland?SELL0.86$17.29
08-27 15:02Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election?SELL0.59$8.85
08-27 14:56Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election?SELL0.7$14.07
08-23 23:41Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5BUY0.3$3.00
08-23 21:48CA Belgrano vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5BUY0.200620954$10.00
08-23 21:23FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5BUY0.1399999787$5.00
08-23 20:58EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5BUY0.9$10.00
08-23 20:58EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5BUY0.92$5.00
08-23 20:57Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5BUY0.99$5.00
08-23 20:52SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5BUY0.95$5.00
08-23 20:36Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5BUY0.96$5.00
08-23 20:32Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5BUY0.2$5.00