adriano2026
0xe06f785038334755e4e23ff04569d1fd32a17b53
- Realised P&L
- $-31.84
- Volume
- $1.0k
- Markets traded
- 30
- Open portfolio
- $2.04
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-3.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded30
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration43.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample25 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Mykhailivka by October 31? · Yes | 0.490 | 0.102 | $2.04 | −$7.81 |
| Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-08-23? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| CA Belgrano vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.201 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5 · Over | 0.300 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Exact Score: CA Belgrano 2 - 2 CSyD Defensa y Justicia? · Yes | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.70 |
| Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on August 7? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.40 |
| Mirassol FC vs. LDU de Quito: 1st Half O/U 1.5 · Over | 0.264 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 · Over | 0.140 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Atalanta BC vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.240 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Gemini 4.0 released by August 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.08 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$20.00at 0.338Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5
- +$10.40at 0.490Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 7?
- +$3.30at 0.380Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 7?
- +$3.20at 0.560Will Joao Felix attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
- +$2.80at 0.350Will Piers Morgan attend Cristiano Ronaldo's wedding?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-27 21:29 | Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in August? | SELL | 0.69 | $3.63 |
| 08-27 21:29 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.64 |
| 08-27 21:29 | Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes? | SELL | 0.43 | $8.64 |
| 08-27 15:05 | Will Åsa Johansson be the next Regional Board Chair of Region Värmland? | SELL | 0.86 | $17.29 |
| 08-27 15:02 | Will Harshan Ramadass win the 2026 Fernie mayoral election? | SELL | 0.59 | $8.85 |
| 08-27 14:56 | Will Sergio Moro win the Governor of Paraná election? | SELL | 0.7 | $14.07 |
| 08-23 23:41 | Atlético San Luis vs. CF Pachuca: 1st Half O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.3 | $3.00 |
| 08-23 21:48 | CA Belgrano vs. CSyD Defensa y Justicia: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.200620954 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 21:23 | FC Porto vs. FC Arouca: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.1399999787 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 20:58 | EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.9 | $10.00 |
| 08-23 20:58 | EC Vitória vs. EC Bahia: O/U 1.5 | BUY | 0.92 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 20:57 | Red Bull Bragantino vs. Grêmio FBPA: O/U 0.5 | BUY | 0.99 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 20:52 | SE Palmeiras vs. CR Vasco da Gama: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.95 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 20:36 | Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.96 | $5.00 |
| 08-23 20:32 | Torino FC vs. AC Milan: O/U 2.5 | BUY | 0.2 | $5.00 |