yidanide
0xe06bb15d97dbcbdb9e6eb4dee1c78a8d283d8aa0
- Realised P&L
- $-110.64
- Volume
- $47.1k
- Markets traded
- 599
- Open portfolio
- $130.69
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded599
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration21.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$11.30at 0.431Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by February 28, 2025?
- +$9.00at 0.100Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?
- +$6.45at 0.967Will Solana reach $250 in May?
- +$3.13at 0.249Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 37°C on July 26?
- +$2.35at 0.460Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 11PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09-17 03:19 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C or below on September 17? | BUY | 0.5899998466 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:18 | Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C or below on September 18? | BUY | 0.8399994288 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:17 | Ethereum Up or Down on September 17? | BUY | 0.8799999648 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 03:17 | Will Bitcoin reach $97,500 in September? | BUY | 0.987 | $29.61 |
| 09-17 03:14 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,700 on September 17? | BUY | 0.999 | $86.87 |
| 09-17 03:12 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | BUY | 0.5199999792 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 02:59 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.956 | $2.00 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $1.00 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will Sara Al-Saqqa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | SELL | 0.965 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.91 | $1.93 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will XRP reach $3.00 in September? | SELL | 0.981 | $4.94 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | SELL | 0.993 | $5.01 |
| 09-17 02:58 | Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $99.90 |
| 09-15 01:56 | Arc FDV above $20B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.997 | $2.00 |
| 09-15 01:56 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9559999904 | $2.00 |