fghb85
0xe06b6c5290dff30156a5bbfaba7859b4485c06a3
- Realised P&L
- $-3.0k
- Volume
- $16.8k
- Markets traded
- 55
- Open portfolio
- $46.19
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-17.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded55
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration49.3% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample39 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)71.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration83.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House · Yes | 0.480 | 0.615 | $38.44 | +$8.44 |
| Titans vs. Colts · Colts | 0.770 | 0.755 | $4.90 | −$0.10 |
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026? · Yes | 0.480 | 0.405 | $2.85 | −$0.53 |
| Thunder vs. Spurs · Thunder | 0.670 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$300.00 |
| Knicks vs. Timberwolves · Knicks | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$700.00 |
| Rockies vs. Guardians · Guardians | 0.690 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1) · FlyQuest | 0.230 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$147.43 |
| Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox · Tampa Bay Rays | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.17 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $119K and $121K on July 23? · Yes | 0.333 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Will Uganda win on 2025-10-14? · Yes | 0.170 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$30.00 |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) · Invictus Gaming | 0.220 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$550.00 |
| Houston Astros vs. Athletics · Athletics | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Florida International vs. Western Kentucky · Western Kentucky | 0.798 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$500.00 |
| Mavericks vs. Pelicans · Mavericks | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$691.00 |
| Arkansas State vs. South Alabama · South Alabama | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$600.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$640.35at 0.120LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs 100 Thieves (BO1)
- +$289.43at 0.70049ers vs. Colts
- +$192.40at 0.480Senators vs. Sabres
- +$19.22at 0.510Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
- +$13.69at 0.452Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-10 09:16 | Ravens vs. Falcons | BUY | 0.39 | $7.80 |
| 10-10 09:16 | Titans vs. Colts | BUY | 0.7699999877 | $5.00 |
| 09-27 09:10 | Houston Astros vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4 | $10.00 |
| 09-01 09:52 | San Francisco Giants vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | BUY | 0.6 | $6.00 |
| 08-09 11:51 | Atlanta Braves vs. New York Yankees | BUY | 0.44 | $11.00 |
| 07-21 08:22 | Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.57 | $14.82 |
| 07-19 07:26 | Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox | BUY | 0.47 | $5.17 |
| 07-19 07:26 | New York Mets vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.55 | $15.40 |
| 07-07 10:04 | New York Yankees vs. Tampa Bay Rays | BUY | 0.53 | $13.25 |
| 06-30 09:16 | Miami Marlins vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.6 | $10.00 |
| 06-30 09:15 | Texas Rangers vs. Cleveland Guardians | BUY | 0.52 | $14.04 |
| 06-16 13:07 | Miami Marlins vs. Philadelphia Phillies | BUY | 0.62 | $15.50 |
| 06-16 13:06 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.38 | $19.00 |
| 03-22 08:57 | Netanyahu out by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4799999716 | $3.38 |
| 03-16 06:43 | Warriors vs. Wizards | BUY | 0.7399999584 | $2.49 |