arlenecerva256
0xe064eaa4262631a6ff7373b552e76c2086691113
- Realised P&L
- $0.00
- Volume
- $141.32
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $8.56
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- ClearOpen concentration49.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? · Yes | 0.242 | 0.206 | $4.26 | −$0.74 |
| Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · No | 0.989 | 0.934 | $2.36 | −$0.14 |
| Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · No | 0.854 | 0.745 | $0.87 | −$0.13 |
| Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? · Yes | 0.009 | 0.005 | $0.57 | −$0.43 |
| Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.300 | 0.150 | $0.50 | −$0.50 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10-28 02:24 | Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.9889999988 | $2.50 |
| 10-28 02:23 | Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.29999994 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 02:21 | Will Mariana Rodríguez Cantú win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.8539994073 | $1.00 |
| 10-28 02:17 | Will Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas win the 2027 Sonora Governor Election? | BUY | 0.2419999886 | $5.00 |
| 10-28 02:15 | Will Héctor García García win the 2027 Nuevo León Governor Election? | BUY | 0.0088010952 | $1.00 |